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As one of his last acts as President, Ronald Reagan released the budget for fiscal years 1990 and 1991. The Bush administration’s budget for next year will revise Reagan’s two-year submission to reflect the administration’s changes to and congressional action on the 1990 portion and the reallocations for 1991.
One principal and two secondary considerations are impacting the defense budget in general, and U. S. Navy procurement and development programs in particular. The overriding and most obvious factor is fiscal constraint. The less obvious considerations are the Bush administration’s view of how best to serve national security interests, and the progress of arms control negotiations within the Strategic Arms Reduction Talks (START), the Conventional Forces in Europe (CFE) talks, and the Conference on Disarmament in Europe (CDE), where confidence and security building measures (CSBM) are being discussed. These secondary considerations will dictate the directions fiscal constraint will take within the Department of Defense.
Fiscal Constraints and Cuts
Fiscal constraint shrinks the already constrained Reagan defense budget, presented to Congress in January 1989 and limited to 2% real growth, still further to zero growth beyond inflation. President George Bush’s overall guidelines for his defense budget, announced to Congress shortly after his inauguration, provide for a 3.1% increase over the fiscal year 1989 budget to compensate for inflation, but cut Reagan’s $305.6 billion fiscal year 1990 defense proposal by $6.3 billion to $299.3 billion. Budget plans for the future call for real growth of 1% in fiscal years 1991 and 1992, followed by 2% real growth in fiscal years 1993 and 1994.
The National Security Council’s ongoing look at the force posture necessary to protect national security interests will undoubtedly drive the forthcoming cuts to some extent. President Bush’s national security advisor, retired Air Force Lieutenant General Brent Scowcroft, is already on record advocating the withdrawal of U. S. carrier battle groups from their forward-deployed positions around the globe, substituting smaller numbers of surface combatants armed with cruise missiles. If the National Security Council endorses that position, budget cutters could argue for drastic cuts to the U. S. Navy’s fundamental force structure, which would negate the progress the Reagan administration made in rebuilding the fleet.
Even if the Navy escapes these fundamental force structure cuts, the Soviets are sure to continue to demand the inclusion of naval forces in arms limitation agreements. Since late 1987, virtually every U. S. official visiting Moscow has been bombarded with Soviet arguments that naval forces must be included in conventional forces talks, as well as the START negotiations, in order to reach meaningful agreements. Already captured under START are Trident, Poseidon, the nuclear-armed variant of the Tomahawk land-attack missile (TLAM- N), and their Soviet counterparts. The Soviets would also like to see carrier battle groups captured, especially in light of their nuclear capability, which the Soviets consistently describe as a “strategic nuclear reserve.” The air power display that Admiral William J. Crowe put on for Marshal of the Soviet Union Sergei Akhromeyev on board the USS Theodore Roosevelt (CVN-71) last summer apparently reinforced the Soviets’ significant fear of the power of U. S. carrier battle forces. Limiting them seems to have become a Soviet obsession, though not yet a formal position at any arms talks.
Fiscal constraint has manifestations other than the common budgetary surgery. One the Europeans have been employing for some time is codevelopment. Some codeveloped weapons are now appearing in the U. S. arsenal, most notably the point defense Rolling Airframe
Missile codeveloped by the U. S. an Federal German navies. But other codevelopment programs have been fa'' ures, such as the low-cost antiradar drone Locust, a joint U. S. Air Force/Luftwaf'e effort. The benefits of codevelopmeIlt consist primarily of shared developmen costs and risks, and larger producti°n runs to keep unit costs as low as possible- The principal drawback is the vital neces sity to either agree or compromise olJ requirements. Major codevelopmen programs in their infancy are tn U. S./Federal German navies’ long-ran?e air-ASW capable aircraft (LRAAC^ effort, the U. S./Royal navies, surfae ship torpedo defense program, and 1 U. S. Air Force/Japanese FSX. , codeveloped derivative of the Gener‘ Dynamics F-16 Fighting Falcon among other things, antisurface strike.
joint development, between services the same country. Several success' joint development programs are AIM-7 Sparrow and AIM-9 Sidewin ^ programs, the advanced medium-m11-- air-to-air missile (AMRAAM), and 1 ^ ground-launched and sea-launched oru ^ used a leader/follower service appr°a' while the cruise missile programs ployed a joint program office.
The Navy is currently using both V proaches in developing new joint dev . opment programs. The Navy advan tactical fighter (NATF) and reciprocal ^ Force advanced tactical aircraft f°‘ the leader/follower approach, while . new Joint Remotely Piloted Vehicle fice is an example of the joint progj ^ office. Joint development for munih0 weapon programs has had a better s cess rate than platform programs. Th>5^ probably because the requirements f°r ^ latter tend to get involved with basie e ments of the services’ individual proaches to basing, operational emp' | ment, and doctrine, while the former principally with the destruction of sin11
DYNAMICS
r(J^ts once the release point has been
C|j*n this development and acquisition Hie"316’ how are particular naval capabil- Cu s faring in the development and pro- h,lJ^r,lent arena? Tables 1 and 2 provide | jetary and status overviews of se- arvi Nayy research, development, test, pf(. Valuation (RDT&E) programs and ffemcnt programs, respectively.
ifSic Nuclear Strike
£
N| js°r Purposes of this analysis, TLAM- Pi- : c°nsidered a tactical nuclear power I)5JC(c>i°n weapon, leaving the Trident '°ften described as the Trident II)
missile as the only naval strategic weapon currently being developed and procured. In March 1988, Congressman Lcs Aspin (D-WI), Chairman of the House Armed Services Committee, cited the entire Trident program as the perfect example of how such a program should be managed. Each milestone has been met on time or early; this record continued into 1989 with the on-schedule 26 January completion of Oat pad launch testing. The first Trident D5-capable submarine, the USS Tennessee (SSBN-734), was commissioned in December 1988. Initial operational capability for the new Trident D5 missile is scheduled for December 1989.
The Soviets are anxious to limit the
The Navy’s budget-driven force cuts have not curbed the Soviets’ obsession to include more U. S. naval forces in future arms limitation agreements. The nuclear-armed variant of the Tomahawk has been caught, but the Soviets would like to see the other Tomahawks and the carriers covered also.
Fiscal constraints have spawned several successful codevelopment programs, including the Navy/Air Force AMRAAM, fired here from an Air F’orce F-15.
number of Trident submarines since they consider the D5 missile exceptionally accurate, providing a hard target kill capability. One of the principal themes in the 1988 book The Navy: Its Role, Prospects for Development, and Employment, written by three retired Soviet naval officers with an introduction by the late Admiral of the Fleet of the Soviet Union Sergei Gorshkov, centered on the destruction of enemy ballistic missile submarines at the start of any NATO/Warsaw Pact war. (See feature on this book in this issue, pages 131-148.) This is necessary, they tell the reader, because sea-launched ballistic missiles will increase their “combat effectiveness” through “an increase in accuracy and range of fire, the use of multiple warheads, their guidance to different targets, an improvement in countermeasures to antiballistic missile systems, and an increase in their operating reliability and simplicity.” Though the authoritativeness of this book in an era of glasnost’ is open to question, this depiction probably accurately reflects Soviet naval threat perceptions generated by the Trident D5 missile.
The size of the Trident submarine fleet and resulting procurement of the D5 missile will not be known until START is completed. Twenty-one submarines are programmed or planned, requiring 504 embarked missiles plus “pipeline” spares and test missiles. Procurement held steady at 66 per year through fiscal year 1989, dropping to 63 proposed for fiscal year 1990 and only 52 for 1991 as production tapers off.
Strike and Antisurface Warfare
This year as last, the A-12 Advanced Tactical Aircraft (ATA) is key to future naval capabilities in these mission areas. Despite the Air Force’s unveiling of two
Line Item | Table 1 Selected Aircraft and Weapons in RDT&E FY 90191 FY 89 Budget Authori- Appro- Budget Request Request in $M zation priation 1990 1991 Past Milestone |
| Next Milestone | ||||||
Trident D5 |
| 580.9 | 580.9 | 575.0 | 222.2 | 70.7 | 12/88 First D5-capable SSBN |
| 12/89 IOC |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| commissioned (USS Tennessee [SSBN-734]) |
| |
T-45 Training System |
| 87.8 | 87.8 | 87.8 | 26.5 | 14.6 | 1/89 2 Prototype T-45 As |
| 9/89 First pilot production |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| completed OPTEV |
| aircraft deliveries |
Advanced Tactical Support |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 7/88 DRB approved ATSA concept |
| 1989 Draft operational |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| requirement due |
Navy Advanced Tactical Fighter | 0 | 0 | 65.0 | 64.7 | 64.7 | 9/88 ATF entered formal demonstration/ |
| 1990 ATF source selection | |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| validation (DEM/VAL) |
| by USAF |
Air ASW |
| 9.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 |
|
|
|
Tactical Airborne |
| 8.3 | 8.3 | 8.3 | 26.2 | 34.5 | 12/88 Engineering change proposal for |
| FY 92 delivery of first |
Reconnaissance |
|
|
|
|
|
| F/A-18D to accept advanced |
| ATARS-equipped F/A-18D |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| airborne tactical RECCE system |
| to USMC |
Advanced Surface-to-Air |
| 100.7 | 100.7 | 100.7 | 91.4 | 40.4 | SM2 upgrade in full-scale engineering |
| Milestones are classified |
Missile |
|
|
|
|
|
| development (FSED) |
|
|
Advanced Air-to-Air |
| 30.4 | 40.4 | 30.4 | 74.7 | 84.9 | 9/88 AAAM entered formal DEM/VAL |
| FY 93 Approval of FSED in |
Missile (AAAM) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Milestone II |
Surface Ship Torpedo |
| 35.2 | 35.2 | 35.2 | 51.5 | 53.0 | 11/88 Memorandum of Understanding |
| Milestones are classified |
Defense |
|
|
|
|
|
| signed with U.K. for codevelopment |
|
|
Non-acoustic ASW |
| 15.7 | 15.7 | 15.7 | 16.0 | 17.1 |
|
|
|
Surface ASW |
| 72.8 | 72.8 | 72.8 | 55.9 | 54.0 |
|
|
|
Conventional Munitions |
| 21.6 | 21.6 | 21.6 | 54.4 | 51.9 |
|
|
|
P-3 Modernization Program |
| 204.8 | 204.8 | 202.3 | 357.1 | 277.4 | 7/88 Critical design review of |
| 7/90 Delivery of prototype |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Update IV avionics completed |
| P-3C Update IV |
LRAACA |
|
|
|
| 205.1 | 231.6 | 1/89 FSED approved |
| 11/89 Critical design review |
V-22A Osprey |
| 306.7 | 306.7 | 306.7 | 221.2 | 178.1 | 3/89 MV-22 first flight; SV-22 program |
| 12/89 Milestone IIIA |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| on hold |
| scheduled (low rate |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| initial production) |
Sea Lance |
| 50.0 | 65.0 | 80.3 | 127.8 | 139.9 | 9/88 Decision to deploy from surface |
| 6/92 Milestone IIIA |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ships as well as submarines |
| scheduled |
Advanced Medium-Range |
| 13.6 | 13.6 | 13.6 | 7.7 | 3.6 | 6/87 Milestone IIIA approval |
| 9/89 Milestone II1B |
Air-to-Air Missile |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| scheduled (full production) |
Standard Missile Improvements | 52.1 | 52.1 | 52.1 | 66.3 | 49.1 |
|
|
| |
BGM-109 Tomahawk |
| 45.6 | 45.6 | 45.6 | 18.1 | 18.8 | 12/88 Contract issued to incorporate |
| 10/92 Completion of |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| GPS. improve DSMAC, insensitive |
| Block 111 improvements |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| munitions |
|
|
Submarine Sonar Development |
| 36.0 | 36.0 | 36.0 | 27.2 | 43.3 |
|
|
|
Submarine Combat System |
| 382.5 | 378.5 | 375.7 | 361.1 | 389.1 |
|
|
|
Submarine Tactical Warfare System | 43.9 | 43.9 | 43.9 | 77.3 | 73.7 |
|
|
| |
Unguided Conventional |
| 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 13.0 | 13.9 |
|
|
|
Air-Launched Weapons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mk-50 ALWT |
| 134.7 | 134.7 | 134.7 | 63.6 | 11.4 | 1/84 Milestone II FSED approval |
| 1989 Milestone IIIA |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| scheduled |
Surface ASW System |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 72.1 | 117.9 |
|
|
|
Improvement |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Joint Standoff Weapon |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 25.2 | 61.0 | 3/89 Advanced Interdiction Weapon |
| 7/90 AIWS Milestone 11 |
Systems |
|
|
|
|
|
| System (AIWS) Milestone I |
|
|
F-14 Upgrade |
| 151.9 | 151.9 | 154.5 | 169.9 | 119.7 | 9/88 F-14D completed operational |
| 6/89 F-14D completion of |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Test IIA |
| developmental/operationa) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Test IIB |
|
| Table 2 Selected Aircraft and Weapons in Production |
|
| |||||
| FY 89 Budget | Authori- | Appro- |
| FY 90/91 Total | Total |
| ||
System Name/ | Request |
| zation | priation | Budget Request $M (No.) Delivered | Ordered | |||
Nomenclature | $M (Number) | $M (Number) | $M | 1990 | 1991 in CY 88 | in CY 88 Comments | |||
Aircraft: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Intruder/A-6E | 0 |
| 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0 8 A-6E | 10 A-6E | System/Weapons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| SWIP | SWIP | Integration |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Program (SWIP) |
Prowler/EA-6B | 473.6 (9) | 467.6 (9) | 467.6 | 105.0 (0) | 308.5 (3) 12 | 12 | An additional 12 | ||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| modifications were |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| delivered |
Harrier II/AV-8B | 479.2 (24) | 479.2 (24) | 479.2 | 461.2 (24) | 454.9 (24) 46 | 24 | Deliveries included | ||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 6 TAV-8Bs |
Tomcat/F-14A/D | 795.0 (12) |
| 795.0 (12) | 785.7 | 992.3 (18) | 1,129.6 (24) 18 F-I4A+ | 5 F-14A+ An additional 6 F-l^A | ||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| retrofitted to F-HA |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Standard delivered |
Homet/F/A-18 2 | 147.3 (72) | 2,354.3 (84) | 2,354.3 | 1,997.4 (72) | 1,709.7 (72) USN 81 F/A-18C/D | 82 |
| ||
|
|
|
|
|
|
| USMC 5 F/A-18C |
|
|
Super Stallion/ | 195.0 (14) |
| 182.9 (14) | 182.9 | 62.0 (3) | 0 USMC 10 CH-53E | 14 | MH-53E IOC—8/88 | |
CH/MH-53E |
|
|
|
|
|
| USN 4 MH-53E |
|
|
Osprey/V-22 | 335.3 (0) |
| 335.3 (0) | 335.3 | 1,146.4 (12) | ,369.2 (24) 0 | 0 |
|
Sea Cobra/AH-lW | 0 | 0 | 55.0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 30 | An additional 2 AH-IT |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| refitted to AH-1W Standard; 9 ordered |
Seahawk/SH-60B | 91.6 (6) | 86.3 (6) | 86.3 | 145.4 (6) | 102.6 (6) | 18 | 6 | 27 SH-60Bs were |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| modified for Persian Gulf action |
CV ASW Helo/SH-60F | 314.5 (18) | 314.5 (18) | 314.5 | 230.1 (18) | 231.4 (18) | 0 | 18 | 4/88 Approval for |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| full-rate production (Milestone III) |
Hawkeye/E-2C | 307.2 (6) | 307.2 (6) | 307.2 | 261.2 (4) | 351.8 (9) | 6 | 6 | Group I Update |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| (APS-139 radar, uprated engines) due mid-1989 |
Goshawk/r-45TS | 375.1 (24) | 375.1 (24) | 375.1 | 369.0 (24) | 557.1 (48) | 2 | 12 |
|
Hermes/E-6A | 334.5 (7) | 334.5 (7) | 334.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
|
Blackhawk/HH-60H | 15.6 (0) | 15.6 (0) | 15.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 HH-60H on contract; |
Viking MOD/ES-3/S-3B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| first delivery scheduled 3/89 |
155.3/135.6 | 155.3/135.6 | 155.3/135.6 | 108.0/56.1 | 5.0/79.6 | 0/16 | NA/10 | ES-3A first flight | |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| scheduled 9/89 |
Missiles: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tr'dent II/D5 | 1,629.5 (66) | 1,629.5 (66) | 1,629.5 | 1,814.6 (63) | 1,535.2 (52) | 0 | 66 | IOC scheduled 12/89 |
komahawk/BGM-109 | 635.5 (510) | 610.5 (475) | 635.5 | 572.2 (400) | 662.6 (400) | 51 TLAM-N | 19 TLAM-N |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 125 TASM | 80 TASM |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 113 TLAM-C | 304 TLAM-C |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 6 TLAM-D | 72 TLAM-D |
|
AMRAAM/AIM-120 | 59.8 (50) | 35.0 (30) | 35.0 | 129.8 (150) | 382.5 (800) | 0 | 0 | Milestone 111 scheduled |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 9/89 |
Sparrow/AIM-7M | 0 | 40.0 (300) | 57.5 | 0 | 0 | 1,839 | 1,639 |
|
S|dewinder/AIM-9M | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 884 | 100 |
|
Ph»enix/A1M-54C | 465.3 (560) | 405.3 (450) | 397.7 | 376.5 (420) | 326.7 (420) | 351 | 414 |
|
Barpoon/SGM-84A | 169.7 (138) | 169.7 (138) | 169.7 | 214.1 (190) | 229.8 (184) | 116 AGM-84 | 116 AGM-84 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 105 RGM-84 | 105 RGM-84 |
|
HARM/AGM-88A |
|
|
|
|
| 15 UGM-84 | 15 UGM-84 |
|
302.7 (1.307) | 302.7 (1,307) | 302.7 | 292.2 (1,162) | 354.9 (1,400) | 2,300 | 2,300 |
| |
Standard/SM-2 | 698.1 (1,635) | 598.5 (1,310) | 598.5 | 310.6 (590) | 552.0 (900) | 677 MR | 706 MR | MR = Medium range |
RAM/RIM-|16A |
|
|
|
|
| 309 ER | 365 ER | ER = Extended range |
52.1 (260) | 52.1 (260) | 52.1 | 90.3 (580) | 86.9 (540) | 0 | 240 | USN deliveries | |
Bel]fire/AGM-114 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| scheduled 6/91 |
9.0 (200) | 35.0 (1,000) | 35.0 | 50.4 (1,098) | 57.1 (1,198) | 395 | 1,304 | Antiship Hellfire in | |
Maverick/AGM-65 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| eval, Sked for completion 9/89 |
82.4 (731) | 82.4 (731) | 82.4 | 60.0 (560) | 185.4 (2,135) | 5 AGM-65F | 425 |
| |
pengutn/AGM-l 19B | 38.6 (64) | 0 | 0 | 43.3 (64) | 40.5 (65) | 0 | 0 | Passed config. design |
Rainbow/AGM-136A Drones & Decoys |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| review (CDR) for missile 6/88; CDR for motor sked 2/89 |
90.0 (clas.) | 90.0 (clas.) | 90.0 |
|
| 0 | 0 |
| |
40.7 | 40.7 | 40.7 |
|
| NA | 4 Pioneer | Procurement account | |
Torpedoes: |
|
|
|
|
|
| Systems | transferred to joint UAV program office |
Mk-48 ADCAP Mk-S0 ALWT | 431.0 (261) | 431.0 (261) | 485.0 | 493.6 (320) | 408.8 (320) | 28 | 102 |
|
162.0 (140) | 162.0 (140) | 162.0 | 269.1 (200) | 328.5 (270) | 0 | 0 | Initial production | |
Vk-46 MODs |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| approval sked 1989 |
0 | 0 | 0 | 8.7 | 11.6 | 240 | 480 | Deliveries and orders | |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| under prior year |
v |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| new procurement |
'ritcal Launch ASROC/ | 17.6 (0) | 17.6 (0) | 105.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Congress appropriated |
RUM-139 a |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| funds for 1 time buy of 300; awaiting Milestone 1IIA |
^nobuoys- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| approval sked 4/89 |
RT/AN/SSQ-36 ,fAR/an/SSQ-53 | 4.4 (30,173) 47.7 (108.666) | 4.4 (30,173) 47.7 (108,666) | 4.4 47.7 | 0 70.6 (234,290) | 2.9 (14,200) 52.9 (166,510) | NA NA | NA NA | Conferees authorized a $30.0 M general |
special purpose aN/SSQ-57 | 2.8 (11,564) | 2.8 (11,564) | 2.8 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | increase in sonobuoy procurement, though $0 was appropriated |
DjCASS/AN/SSQ-62 Air., '°/AN/SSQ-77 aunched Ordnance: iklPPer II/AGM-123 | 23.0 (15,026) | 23.0 (15,026) | 23.0 | 22.2 (14,000) | 21.9 (14,400) | NA | NA | to this end |
23.6 (32,644) | 23.6 (32,644) | 23.6 | 22.7 (46,700) | 24.7 (49,900) | NA | NA |
| |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Approx | Approx |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| 1,800 | 1,300 |
|
eneral Purpose Bombs ^°ckeye | 31.3 | 56.3 | 56.3 | 42.3 | 41.4 | NA | NA |
|
0.9 | 16.9 | 16.9 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA |
| |
| 13.4 (563) | 13.4 (563) | 13.4 | 9.7 | 9.5 | NA | NA |
|
Ha'wd;Battle Tank/MIAI ^"Ser/FIM.92 T°W'MGM-71 | 36.0 (14) | 164.4 (66) | 140.6 | 516.6 (155) | 653.4 (255) | 0 | 0 |
|
105.5 (467) | 105.5 (467) | 105.5 | 0 | 0 | 497 | 525 |
| |
145.0 (3,115) 28.4 (2,585) | 145.0 (3,115) 28.4 (2,585) | 145.0 28.4 | 0 10.0 (839) | 0 10.0 (900) | 0 3,354 | 2,225 3,354 |
|
even
lars) figure; flyaway costs do not
of its highly classified stealth aircraft, the F-117 fighter aircraft and the B-2 bomber, the Navy has released remarkably little about the A-12. Officially, all that is releasable about the aircraft is contained in the following response to this author’s media query:
“The A-12 Advanced Tactical Aircraft is an attack aircraft which will replace the A-6 Intruder. Incorporating industry’s newest technologies in its design, the A-12 will exceed the A-6 in performance and survivability. The A-12 will be built by McDonnell Aircraft Company, St. Louis, Missouri, and General Dynamics, Fort Worth, Texas. The engine will be a derivative of the General Electric F404 engine, and will be developed and manufactured at the General Electric plant in Lynn, Massachusetts. The A-12 will have integrated avionics and an integrated electronic warfare system. It is designed to incorporate further advances when they become available.”
Other details have leaked to the press but are not confirmed by Navy sources, including the nomenclature of its two engines, F404-F5D2, and the assertion that the initial development aircraft are currently under construction with production to commence in 1990. Also, the A-12 contractors are reportedly party to a memorandum of agreement with contractors on the Air Force’s Advanced Tactical Fighter (ATF) and the Army’s Light Helicopter Experimental (LHX), which commits them to the use of Triservice Joint Integrated Avionics Working Group standards for common avionics. Trade journals indicate that the A-12’s sophisticated avionics package may not be ready for the first few airframes, so the current state-of-the-art package Grumman developed for the cancelled A-6F Intruder may be fitted to the first dozen or so A-12s.
The key to the A-12’s success once it penetrates enemy airspace and acquires its targets will be the ordnance it can deliver with precision against its aimpoints. One critical development program under way to develop effective ordnance for the A-12 and other Navy strike aircraft is the Advanced Interdiction Weapon System (AIWS). The press has defined AIWS as an unpowered, kinematically efficient airframe with an inertial navigation system, which will sell for $50,000 or less in fiscal year 1985 dollars. McDonnell Douglas, Texas Instruments, and Boeing Aerospace Corporation were selected in January 1989 to develop competing design concepts. Milestone II full-scale engineering development (FSED) of the winning design or competing designs will be decided in July 1990.
AIWS constitutes half of the joint standoff weapon system (JSOW) program. The Air Force is involved with a NATO codevelopment program called the modular standoff weapon system (MSOW) which, in the interest of commonality, was competing with improved versions of AIWS within the Department of Defense for approval. The compromise reached involved integrating common preplanned product improvements (P3I) into the systems at some unspecified future date while continuing development of the baseline systems. In addition to the funds allocated for the Navy portion of the JSOW program listed in Table 1, the Air Force has allocated to JSOW $24.7 million and $34.6 million for 1990 and 1991, respectively.
Power projection also can be accomplished by “silver bullets,” expensive missiles with a high probability of impacting their aimpoints with sufficient accuracy and explosive power to destroy them. Examples of such a system include the TLAM and the planned long-range conventional standoff weapon (LRCSW), variously known in the past as the advanced sea-launched cruise missile and Excalibur. In December 1988, the Defense Acquisition Board gave Milestone 0 approval (program launch) for LRCSW and designated the Navy as the lead service for concept definition of this joint Navy-Air Force effort.
Meanwhile, Tomahawk procurement and upgrades continue. On 14 December, the Navy issued a contract to McDonnell Douglas Astronautics Corporation, Missile and Defense Electronics Division, for development of the Block III Tomahawk all-up-round (AUR) cruise missile. The $29.7 million contract integrates into the existing Tomahawk AUR a global positioning system (GPS), time of arrival software, improved digital scene matching area correlator, and an insensitive munitions warhead/extended range payload section. Engineering work is expected to be completed in October 1992, at which time the Block III Tomahawk improvements will be incorporated into the production line.
Calendar year 1988 Tomahawk orders reflect a significant evolution in the program. (See Table 2.) This shift in production to conventional land-attack versions will significantly enhance the Navy’s capability to project conventional power against high-value enemy land targets. The difficult problem of identifying which high-value enemy land targets are worth these “silver bullets” remains, however.
Air-to-ground ordnance procuremen! declined in 1988. (See Table 2.) On the positive side, RDT&E on air-to-ground munitions is up considerably.
Antiair Warfare
The follow-on to the Grumman F-14V Tomcat is perhaps the most important issue in the antiair warfare mission area. The Navy ATF program is certain to be expensive. The Air Force is currently estimating the flyaway unit cost of its ver' sion of the ATF at some $35 miH>°n (1985 dollars), but that is certain to gr°'v as do all aircraft programs; evidence suggests it may double or even triple. Earl; production runs of the F-14D upgrade Tomcat are budgeted at slightly rnore than $50 million at low levels of produc tion (24 per year), with the potential 0 that falling slightly as the production HnL matures, or more dramatically if the pr° curement rate is raised substantially- Can the Navy afford to launch a cost) new development program with the A Force at a time when it is already deve oping several costly new airframes, suc as the A-12, the V-22, and the Advance Tactical Surveillance Program? Develop ment of the Navy ATF would certain j proceed concurrently with the Air For1-1' ATF, but significantly different NaU requirements are likely to drive 1 flyaway costs well beyond the A Force’s projected $35 million (1985 d° take into account the significant RDT& investment such a development progra requires before the first platform can delivered. Grumman has offered an an native in the form of an F-14 airfraIJ' with the new generation avionics of I ATF; other alternatives include the dev^ opment of a variant of the A-12 based 0 the old McDonnell Douglas F5D Miss^ eer concept—a subsonic truck with 111 siles for the carrier air defense role. S° of the $64.7 million budgeted f°r Navy ATF may be used to investigate . tematives to that potentially costly a frame.
Two significant upgrades to the Gn> man E-2C Hawkeye carrier-borne ea ' warning aircraft are in progress. ‘ Group I update includes the new A> ^ 139 radar in place of the APS-l2a'^j high-speed processor, and the impr°v. e Allison T56-A-427 engine to replace 1 T56-A-425. The first E-2C with this W date has been in preliminary evalua' ( and is scheduled for delivery to the I jj in mid-1989. The Group II update '' replace the APS-139 radar with the A
45, providing a strong over-land capa- u«y that this essentially open-ocean sys- ,ern lacked, and will also include the umt Tactical Information Distribution ystem, Global Positioning System, and a|j enhanced main display unit that will d color for easier recognition of information. The first Group II-equipped '2C is scheduled for delivery in Decem- * The fiscal year 1991 budget lects a procurement increase to nine q0iti tbe 1990 total of four to receive the r°uP II improvements.
espite the programmed improve- ents to the E-2C, there is limited f°wth left in what is essentially a 30- ai/p0^ a*rframe design. Consequently, fc'2 replacement constitutes a major re 111011 °f (he Advanced Tactical Support i rement funded at development start- fo °Ve*s°f $ 10 million and $1.5 million .r fiscal years 1990 and 1991, respec
tive!
a. Other aircraft the ATS aircraft will v,e.y succeed are the Lockheed S-3B the 'p®’ t*le 14A-6D Intruder tanker, and
air Prowler electronic warfare
Prov 1 Defense Review Board ap- Ju,ved the ATS aircraft requirement in quf with a draft operational re-
10 PrornuI§ate(I in early to
PriY^1*6 Defense Advanced Research
0Ve|ects Agency (DARPA) has taken ajr, Pr°gram management of the Navy Co *P Program, the Naval Air Systems 5genman(I will remain as the design Pro C?' DARPA is currently focusing on 'vhil S1°n re9uirements for the airship the Referring other design reviews until reg, ■ avT identifies its specific mission l9gglrernents. Reports surfaced in early been l^at DARPA and the Navy have exanable to reach agreement on their the reiationship and the direction that of fPr°§ram should take, given the lack shir>,SCa^ year 1990 funding for the air- jP s sensor.
of jn a 9Uest for more jointness in an era year r,easinS fiscal constraints, the fiscal CaUed f ^ (lefense authorization bill grairi or a joint Navy and Air Force pro- yanc °^f,ce to develop the Navy’s ad- the air'fo-air missile (AAAM) and vanCg(Jr Force’s product improved ad- (Amr medium-range air-to-air missile tioq A AM). The catalyst for this addi- Plar,n bid was the Air Force’s
Pro(fuct improvement of AMity Sp aPProaching the level of capabil- CesSorCl^led f°r the Navy’s AAAM, suc- rpeyqj- to tbe AIM-54 Phoenix. In the de^Q1IIle’ AAAM entered the formal optUgr^^fion/validation phase of devel- feanis ’ ar>d two competing contractor liyr^ ’ ”ughes/Raytheon and General 'cs/Westinghouse, received contracts on 30 September 1988.
Budgetary authority, orders, and deliveries of air-to-air ordnance are generally down, though Navy budgetary plans for the AIM-120 AMR A AM show a distinct reversal of this trend may occur in the next two years. Procurement of the AIM-7 Sparrow and AIM-9 Sidewinder missiles has been completed, and there is no money allocated to buy more of these missiles. AIM-54 Phoenix procurement plans are also down slightly. RDT&E spending for the AAAM will be considerably higher if the fiscal year 1990 and 1991 requests hold. Surface-launched missiles show a similar trend with the exception of the RIM-116A rolling airframe missile, which is now gearing up to full-scale production.
Antisubmarine Warfare
The budgetary data clearly indicate that antisubmarine warfare is a field for major growth. Congress has tended to authorize and appropriate whatever ASW RDT&E budget the administration proposes and has frequently added funds to the request. In most cases, RDT&E in ASW is growing at a significant rate, not just for advanced and engineering development of specific systems, but for research and exploratory development as well. Undoubtedly driven by Soviet advances in quieting their new classes of submarines, these large development sums may net only minor incremental gains in detection technology until a major breakthrough in technology can be perfected.
In the meantime, a significant fraction of the development funding in the budget is directed at improving the acoustic processing technology of platforms other than submarines—surface ships and aircraft—which have been largely considered secondary ASW platforms to the submarine. As U. S. submarines’ acoustic advantage over their Soviet counterparts has eroded, the fortunes of other ASW platforms have improved. One need only look at the fiscal year 1990 and 1991 requests for surface ASW system improvement, $72.1 million and $117.9 million, respectively, where since 1963 there was none, to see evidence of this trend. Submarine ASW technology is not being ignored, however. The Navy’s budget earmarks almost $1 billion in RDT&E for submarine sonars and combat systems.
In January 1989, the Navy awarded a full-scale engineering development contract for LRAACA to Lockheed Aeronautical Systems Company. The Lockheed design includes a stretched P-3 airframe with a new cockpit, flight controls, construction materials, and improved engines that increase time-on- station to at least four hours at a range of 1,600 miles, the Update IV ASW avionics package under development by Boeing for both the LRAACA and backfit into P-3Cs, and the new Mk-50 advanced lightweight torpedo. Critical design review of the detailed Lockheed design is scheduled for November 1989.
The Federal German Navy has declared its intention to collaborate in the development of the LRAACA. but may exclude the aircraft’s Update IV avionics system. The Germans anticipate a requirement for 12 aircraft, while initial U. S. Navy requirements total 125 aircraft. Germany could provide up to 10% of the funding for development of the new LRAACA airframe if German companies participate in the effort. Italy and the United Kingdom are also interested in codevelopment options.
Critical design review of the Boeing Update IV package was completed in July 1988, and the first prototype is scheduled for delivery in July 1990. Other upgrades are under consideration
As U. S. subs lose their acoustic advantage over Soviet subs, the U. S. Navy is looking to such other ASW platforms as LRAACA, which is in design.
for older P-3B and P-3C airframes, including those in the Naval Reserve:
► An improved processing and display system that will double the P-3B’s sono- buoy processing capability from 16 to 32 at a time and enable the P-3B to employ the modern directional frequency analyze and record sonobuoy that is the most effective sonobuoy against modern Soviet submarines
► The acoustic system upgrade to ASW
The master planning process re all RDT&E programs in the budget.
view*
Each
individual plan starts with the cui force as a baseline, then incorp' modernization, new procurement.
irreni
rate5
and
products of various RDT&E efforts ' ^ a goal of achieving the most capable an
forts are focused on specific emerg'1’"
dollar spent—exactly what the cum
of fiscal constraint
environment
mands.
Aircraft package for P-3C Upgrade III aircraft, which will be ready in the early 1990s
Antisubmarine ordnance fared well in both congressional action and in the new budget. Procurement requests for both Mk-48 and Mk-50 torpedoes are up across the board, while orders of Mk-46 torpedoes were double deliveries in 1988. Even sonobuoy procurement is up. The competition between the vertical-launch antisubmarine rockets (ASROCs) and Sea Lance for surface ship ASW ordnance was resolved in favor of both. Congress appropriated $105 million for a one-time buy of 300 vertical-launch ASROCs to fill the ASW requirements of the surface fleet until a surface-launched version of Sea Lance can be developed and procured. The next milestone for Sea Lance is the June 1992 Milestone IIIA low-rate initial production decision.
Support
Unmanned aircraft accounts from all the services were transferred to the new Joint Remotely Piloted Vehicles Program Office in keeping with congressional mandate. This office will manage the mid-range RPV program, Amber high- altitude long endurance RPV, Pioneer program, and a variety of small Navy/ Marine Corps unmanned air vehicle projects. For fiscal years 1990 and 1991, the Defense Agencies section of the budget requests $122.7 million and $127.4 million in RDT&E funds, respectively, and only $30.0 million and $24.9 million in procurement for RPVs.
The Navy’s mid-range unmanned air vehicle (UAV) program is currently in the source selection process. It passed review by the Acquisition Review Board in July 1988, and a Navy Program Decision Memorandum was due to be issued in early 1989. Another name reported for the mid-range RPV is the Joint Service Common Airframe Multiple Purpose System. Source selection and contract award are anticipated in Spring 1989.
The Amber program is in prototyping and “configuration maturation,” which, according to the UAV Master Plan, are designed to refine requirements for development of a production vehicle with wide area surveillance as a primary mission. Communications relay is a potential secondary mission. Leading Systems, Inc., of Anaheim, California, builds Amber and anticipates a Navy order for 96 units.
Another major aircraft procurement program just getting under way is the aircraft component of the T-45 Training System. First flight of the T-45A took place on 16 April 1988. After company testing, the Douglas Aircraft Company subsidiary of McDonnell Douglas delivered two developmental T-45A Goshawks to the Navy for test and evaluation. Press reports indicate that concerns exist about the T-45’s lack of sufficient power from its derated 5,450-pound thrust engine. The Navy originally specified this derated engine to extend engine life, but it now appears the engines in all T-45 As will be rerated back to their original 5,700-pound capability. Press reports also suggest that the aircraft may have other problems. Total T-45 A procurement plans call for 302 aircraft to be purchased through 1997. Since the Navy let the purchase options in the original procurement contract lapse in December, the Navy and McDonnell Douglas will renegotiate under the original contract procurement rates and costs for correcting the aircraft’s deficiencies.
Conclusions
The $6.3 billion cut in the fiscal year 1990 defense budget mandated by President Bush will undoubtedly have a disruptive effect on many of the Navy’s aircraft and weapons programs. According to one report, then-acting Secretary of Defense William Howard Taft IV has mandated that $2.3 billion of the cuts will come out of Navy accounts, a 2.26% budget reduction, while proposed Strategic Defense Initiative spending remains untouched. After the cuts of the past two years, very little “give” is left in the Navy budget without sacrificing major programs or taking force structure cuts.
Managing this reduction process will be a major challenge for the new Navy civilian leadership as well as the Navy’s uniformed leadership. An important inp^ to the required decision-making will the Director of Naval Warfare’s mast^ plan process, the official purpose which is “to identify long-term objec tives and establish policies and strategy/, to guide near-term resource allocation in the RDT&E and procurement arenaS'
wit*1 an
economical force structure. RDT&E ^
threats. Ideally, this process priority system development and procurement ^ the basis of operational gain achieved f
de-
Hopefully, the master plan process V provide Navy and Defense Departs decision-makers with the tools to 1° the inevitable cuts in the Navy budge* f those areas that are least cost-effective } national security. It will certainly ^ challenge.