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Year after year, the Communist Party dangles various carrots—such as the illusion of perpetual peace—before the Soviet populace. The people’s acceptance of Party dictatorship—which just concluded its 27th Congress in February, here—gives the Politburo virtually free rein in the conduct of international relations.
For many years the West assumed that communist ideology was a major influence on Soviet political- military behavior. During much of this period, the Soviet Union had qualitatively inferior military forces but could successfully manipulate the world communist movement for its own purposes. By the 1950s, Soviet leaders’ public statements seemed to confirm our worst fears about the menace of communism.1 When superpower tensions appeared to subside in the late 1960s and early 1970s, we were troubled by Soviet statements that were at odds with our own expectations of detente but dismissed their strident words as window dressing for internal Soviet consumption.2
Recently, we have heard a series of Soviet party leaders stress other factors and a “peaceful coexistence” between capitalism and socialism. Yet in Soviet documents, written for the Soviet people, the trappings of ideology remain with a fervor that resembles the worst days of U. S.-Soviet relations.3 What’s the story? Would Soviet foreign and military policy be the same without ideology? If the Soviets cannot achieve their ideological objectives, will they lash out on their deathbed and embroil the world in a holo
caust? Do the Soviets fear that the forces of caPlta^. |jStTi'5
" f
strike out from their deathbed in the face or
“inevitable” victory?
of P1
Historically, Marxism-Leninism, as a syst®nlneVy c0n'
ical-economic beliefs, has not attracted many
verts in the West. Perhaps this situation exiss casts. , , • . ... -.-and t0‘ rn •■’1
of any Pr.
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communism has been inaccurate in its grand w ^yefl
of any
ability to deliver what it allegedly promises. Prl°r, |)ehav"
totally reversible in its views, and devoid
con
sidering the influence ideology has on the S°vl^jng.
ior some of communism’s problems need revie
Marxism as a Basis for Predicting Social DeV c Karl Marx predicted that the worker uprising5
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would cause a catastrophic war. Yet, no such .
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traced to that uprising. Marx predicted a P°*ar^vejope^ Europe’s society. Instead, a strong middle class jdaf* S
in most
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of the industrialized nations. Obvious y
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and, therefore, needed assistance. An elite
aed th t • •
S°c'aIismh soc‘a^sm was the wave of the future. Yet, "'eli^ an has not taken over, and nationalism is alive, United to. ®row'n§- For example, in adopting the recent n>ty ^ atl°ns Law of the Sea Treaty, the world commu- ITl!lr'kind'Un °PPortun'ty to adopt a “common heritage of e.xPand . aPProach to oceans. Instead, it chose to further ^ited nna!'onal'sm into the “high seas.” Apparently, l‘Ve niea atlona* jurisdiction was trusted as a more effec- So,PethinnS l° rnana8e the oceans than treating the sea as 8 that all mankind owns “in common.”
Ut'derStQiV||i Qn<^ t^le ^uss‘an Revolution: Vladimir Lenin Se° ^at classic Marxism in its original form had ^*rst; heri°LS Pr°hlems, and, therefore, he “fixed” it. "^ld co Caan§ecl Marx’s prediction that the revolution ^tions i”112 a^out *n the world’s most advanced industrial Capitaiij e"*n Sa'^ wou*cl occur in the weakest links of h'al areasj ackward agrarian Russia and imperialist colo-
?Pected^t ^en'n recognized that the worker could not be a'S °Wn • °|t*evel°P a proletarian’s self-consciousness on vanguard party would provide that assistance. This party would lead and force the workers into a dictatorship (in their name) in order to enable humanity to make the transition from capitalism, through socialism, to communism. That transition has yet to occur; even the Soviets acknowledge that no true communist nations exist today.
Third, Lenin stood Marx on his head by explaining that politics would determine the economic conditions of the state and not vice-versa. This reversal is still found in the Soviet literature today.4 Hence, we use the phrase “Marxism-Leninism” to describe a joining of these two philosophies into a mixture that the latter dominates in practice.
The Russian Revolution promised land to the peasants, but instead provided a system in which the state confiscated most of the land from its owners. The revolution promised national self-determination, including the right of secession, but delivered an internal empire dominated by Russians and an ever-expanding external empire that has grown well beyond the original borders of 1917.
The revolution promised production that would meet the demands of consumption, but instead, in the Soviet
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Soviet political-military doctrine. The objective war are determined within this framework. D°c
employ"1'
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ll Uiastlil, IGF UlgCUllZAs uppuoiuvzii tQ
, or otherwise take actions that officia s
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sentatives cannot? The Soviet peace campaign deployment of NATO intermediate-range nuclea ^ ^ in Europe clearly demonstrated this capability p^y in
Union production is either for its own sake or geared primarily to military expansionism. It promised plenty, but delivered scarcity. The revolution dangled a carrot of perpetual peace with the eventual elimination of a standing army, but delivered a perpetual war economy with a military always preparing for war.
The Specific Influence of Ideology: Most statements of Soviet state policy are cast in terms of the ideology, and the leading roles of that ideology and the party are enshrined within the Soviet Constitution. Ideology is used to rationalize virtually every major decision made in the Soviet Union. If all of this ideology means nothing, then why do the Soviets go to such trouble? Because the ideology matters to the Russians who rule the Soviet empire. The ideology matters to the West because it underlies important Soviet political-military behavior in the following ways.
First, ideology teaches that the world is inevitably moving in favor of the forces of socialism and that in time capitalism will be eliminated. Soviet literature still carries comments that have appeared over the years alluding to this inevitable shift.5 This view answers the question of why there is long-term competition with the West and helps inspire the armed forces and the population’s dedication. With control of the whole world as the objective, virtually no price is too high to pay and there is no limit to the demands to be met en route to achieving victory.
Since time is on socialism’s side, long-term goals seem more feasible and any tactical reverses are easier to accept. It also defines the Soviet Union as a non-status quo power, except in those areas that it already controls. The Soviet perception of the world of international relations is decidedly a zero-sum game.
Second, ideology teaches the Soviet citizen that the existence of capitalism is all that obstructs the attainment of the workers’ paradise. Only after the world has accomplished the transformation from capitalism to socialism can the Soviet Union advance to the higher stage of communism.6 Therefore, the Soviet citizen must work constantly to eliminate “predatory capitalism.” Rather than promise a better world in the life after death, as some religions do, Marxism-Leninism promises a better life in this world if only the citizen can do a little more. The incentive does not appear to be enough, and the Communist Party of the Soviet Union has had to redefine its target completion date for eventual triumph.
Third, war and politics are not mutually exclusive. Lenin read and borrowed liberally from Karl von Clausewitz and accepted the premise that war is a continuation of politics with an admixture of other more violent means. Lenin agreed that politics sets the tone and determines the purposes of war. Ideology also teaches that politics is a continuation of war by less violent means. The absence of an armed conflict does not preclude the existence of war. The Soviets attempt to reach political objectives while not risking nuclear war.
The Soviets view “peace”—as it is used in the West— as an opportunity to achieve goals through nonmilitary means. The Soviets call this “peaceful coexistence” and
consider it the natural state of international relation ^ ^ a nonviolent but relentless struggle continues agaiflaS talism. Mir, which is usually translated into ng ^ ^ “peace,” is a higher state of the world that cann^ ^ until capitalism has been eliminated and worldwi munism has triumphed. . f seven
Article 28 of the 1977 Soviet Constitutionhsi . foreign policy goals. Five of these goals are i e sQCjal- including the consolidation of the position of w?lerefore- ism and support for wars of national liberation- jnVOlve the official policy of the Soviet Government is ° itself in the internal affairs of other sovereign s . ^ Ideology forms the basis for party doctrine, ^ ^ to comes official state doctrine, which, in turn, glV of
overall military strategy, which includes the eil‘Fjjffere°t of the Soviet Navy in both war and peace. On a ^tto level, doctrine explains to the soldier that he nan .^^a- defend the homeland and to support the cause 0
tional socialism. ofinterna
Fourth, the ideology creates alternate means ^ Rational relations other than traditional state-to- ^ nght tions. The world communist movement reserve. ^ that to conduct inter-party or party-to-people re a s[i- cross borders and are not subject to state contro ’ ntage- ing the Soviet Government with a unilateral ® 0fti- Where is the Western equivalent to the Soviet a(j cials’ “right” to interact directly with citizens a ^vern- foment dissent, to organize opposition to elec e ele
weaP0"5 0b'
uted to a shift to the left of the Social Democra the the Federal Republic of Germany and a destruc OIl£ ot internal political consensus on security matters NATO’s key members.7 jse '•vltl
Fifth, ideology allows for tactical c°mpr(’ corRr even mortal enemies. If the time is not right, i 1,1
tion of forces is not favorable enough to give c°n^eceSsar>, the control of a successful outcome, retreats are ver, a" Compromise is an admission of weakness, ho eventually ideology demands success.
7 . ide0*0".!
General and Indirect Influences of /deolog)’" epreS£l1 _ represents a framework for perceiving reality-1 ^ fheft
a tint to the glasses through which the world is s^ eventU are general and indirect influences of ideology -
ally result in concrete political-military *3e*ljV!uCation °f First and most important, the basic early e^sia(icc " Soviet citizens includes ideology, and that education is influenced by ideology. Va imp01" q) grammar school children are some of the mos ^j,o 'vl components of the political behavior of adu ts’ j
decide government behavior. on(jitiOIll\,
The education process is reinforced by ^ ^ f0PjV emotional responses acquired from society- v0c learned body of beliefs that set the bounds an ^ lary for thought, discussion, and debate. We
s0cj ea* wdh, and predict, the possible behavior of a i(jeoi ^ ln which freedom is not as important as a failed DupJ® which employs selective deduction and cherishes simpiVea Propositions and assumptions. The Soviet Union Unin, ^ aas a unique civic culture and, therefore, has a 5 s'rategic culture.
coiice1VldUalS are soc*aflzed >nt0 habitual behavior and ?Uard^tS t*10u§ht that are largely determined by the
^ch 'an society and values—the Communist Party,
and is& CU'tUre*s passed on from generation to generation issues Th readi|y shaken by current events and transient is sjm', ae residual impact of education and socialization the \y ar t0 tbe influence of early religious upbringing in the ad6]* 3 h’°wcrful force that must be dealt with even if ide0[0U 1 n° 'on8er practices the faith. In both religion and Se ’ eertain truths are accepted as articles of faith. ence 0 ”5’ certain aspects of ideology have a direct influ- on f0r • u°rnestic affairs with a significant indirect impact Uiine th^n a^a*rs- F°r example, since party politics deter- is not e Soviet state’s economic policies, the marketplace there • a 0wed to determine unemployment; therefore, institut- ^r°ss ec°nomic inefficiency compounded by an ec° <)na'ized bureaucracy which undermines sound a state lc Planning. Thus, the Soviet state is constantly in C0,upens t °n°miC Cr*S^S and 's searching for ways to
state of"8 t0 an ideol°gy il131 promotes this backward trausacLf fa!rs supports' certain international strategic Amon; r based on unsound economic reasoning. artificiali £Se are tbe sa'e Soviet oil ar|d natural gas at tftarij,e ow prices to allies, and the use of the merchant Costs n ° Carry foreign cargoes at prices below actual basjc jn 06 tbe central dilemmas in the Soviet state is the and the .0rnPatit>ility between the need for modernization 'nhiativeldeCdo^caby driven authoritarianism that stifles {hem j»,e' exPlains, in part, why the Soviet Govem- its econQSt Steal foreign technologies in order to modernize A th' my-
°Ver ’ indirect influence is the result of party control &onap military, stemming from a constant fear of lions of IQ01' ^he party will never forget that the revolu- Ihe . 1' succeeded largely because of the inaction of 'he mij f1Un H^iiilary at crucial times. Party domination of lion instary-bas 'ts Price> however. The Soviet Constitu- CVerythi Utlona''zes lire government giving the military nevJU "S if needs—a tenet reaffirmed by Leonid Brezh- rcsuii is ,LCb)re l'c died and by each new party leader. The b0i°n at Ihe military cannot be too strong in the Soviet ^ilitarv ereas in the West, many citizens demand that The e*Pendilures be kept to a minimum. e*acerb t*ltai^ bas ^'rst priority on the economy, further [he jp ln8 the economic inefficiencies and providing °0rders 10 find solutions outside the Soviet Union’s f°reign' be resulting strong military means that Soviet a°\v bacK° *cy’ including its ideological component, is Seif~defo Ct* by credible forces that well exceed any logical The SnSe requirements.
averali °V'et defense buildup has resulted in a shift in the ^0yiet ^°rre'ation of forces and means in favor of the n'°n. Thus, the West can no longer dominate any
escalation decision. This naturally impacts on the West’s plans for using its conventional naval forces for crisis response. Will we back our conventional forces with the nuclear threat as we did in the Cuban Missile Crisis or will we place our ships and men in harm’s way and expect them to go it alone?
The Soviet war economy is the ultimate military-industrial complex and could not shift overnight from its emphasis on guns to butter. We should neither expect any near-term reduction in Soviet military force production
With the motto of the Soviet Congress adorning their classroom walls, these children are learning values designed to color their adult political beliefs in order to perpetuate the system.
nor a Soviet foreign policy conducted from a position other than strength.
Former long-time commander of the Soviet Navy Admiral Sergei Gorshkov understood the benefits of diplomacy conducted from a position of strength. He frequently argued that a nation such as the Soviet Union cannot be a truly great power unless it is also a great sea power. He said that navies have direct usefulness in supporting overseas foreign policy, which by the Soviets’ constitutional definition includes ideological objectives. In addition to
demonstrating power beyond the borders of a state, navies demonstrate that state’s economic potential, intimidate adversaries, and can provide direct aid to friends and allies. Gorshkov learned from Western examples that a government most frequently calls upon its navy to respond to a crisis or to make an overseas political-military statement. President Ronald Reagan stated that “the core of our deep and abiding differences with the Soviet Union” is its belief that it has a “historic right to use force to export its ideology.”8
A fourth indirect influence of ideology is that it provides the historical setting for a regime that seized power in the Soviet Union, and the only real source of legitimacy for the regime that maintains control over an empire and
the leadership which used every cutthroat method mi nable to seize and maintain that power. By their own tions, the Russians who consolidated the gains ^rorn^ revolutions of 1917 have tied this ideology to a party then tied that party to their government.
Legitimacy depends upon the fulfillment of * e ^ scriptive predictions contained in the ideology. 1 ‘1C P jy and the government must be seen as working continu0 toward the eventual fulfillment of those ideologic^ P.^ dictions. Those efforts must, by definition, resultin ^ tory. The Politburo cannot openly accept the interna ^ ^ status quo without undermining the very legitimacy regime itself.
The Soviet Constitution provides no guidance or n
weapon systems.
In Soviet military doctrine, ideology fosters the concept of a “nation-in-arms” as a basic tenet of Soviet life (i.e., the entire population must assist in the defense of the state). This means
After years of studying the design and operation of the Soviet military and its weapon systems, it is my opinion that communist ideology strongly influences the Soviets’ military doctrine and the design of their
anothe °F trans^er °f power from one state leader to cja]s L°r ^or the length of service for its major state offi- p0Wer 1S results directly from the party’s prevailing than )a^Ver 80vernment and the use of ideology, rather some i ’ as a source of legitimacy. This system raises funist1?61^1'11^ questions for the West. Since the Com- iti ti^g arty has yet to explain how it picks its leadership during 0t Peace> would the resulting scramble for power lea(ieKu-War a P'us or m*nus for the West if the Soviet
Sovigj rP-*S tar8eted? If the West goes to war with the oVert n*on> should one of its fundamental goals be to WarSaw p current Soviet leadership or merely to defeat Postwar aCt miIitary f°rces? What should the preferred World look like, and how can we use military
forces to achieve those objectives?
A fifth indirect influence of ideology is that by accepting party dictatorship, the Soviet populace has given the Politburo virtually complete freedom in the conduct of international relations. The Politburo is neither subject to oversight by an equally powerful legislature nor to the scrutiny of a domestic free press. The man on the street does not openly question the government’s political-military policies. Where are the Soviet people’s outcries against genocide in Afghanistan and the inhuman use of chemical warfare? The Politburo simply does not have to contend with either the number or the quality of critics which Western governments face when attempting to implement or formulate policy.
war must be started suddenly, to take the enemy by surprise and impair his ability to forestall the disintegration of his social and military system.
In light of this military doctrine, it follows that Soviet prin-
'^ieuk °f his society. Thus ctnne teaches that a
quic^i
Sid defeating the enemy b Vts d ncentrated military Ser t eeP *nto his territory fk'SruPt kjJn<L'crni'ne his defense S faSicS0fC°nomy: and shat
A
Before retiring from the Navy in 1982, Captain Kehoe served in three destroyers and three aircraft carriers, including command of the USS John R. Pierce (DD-753). Currently a partner in Spectrum Associates, Inc., of Arlington, Virginia, Captain Kehoe has written many features for the Proceedings, examining Soviet weapon system design practices and military capabilities.
(Retired)
Ideology is the driving force behind the Soviets’ military doctrine, which stresses offensive mobility. This is reflected, for example, in the Soviets’ investment in surface effect ship and hovercraft capabilities, far beyond U. S. efforts in these areas.
ciples of warfare would stress the primacy of the offensive in waging war. At the operational and tactical level, this view is reflected in the emphasis on mobility, maintaining a high tempo of combat operations— and in the design of vehicles (including submarines, ships, aircraft, tanks, and missiles) often able to achieve higher speeds than comparable U. S. systems. It is also reflected in the Soviets’ emphasis on military engagements that concentrate forces to attain local battlefield superiority at decisive times and places, and in weapon system designs that emphasize firepower and mass producibility.
salt—we are often at a loss in the social sciences l0^nV tify all of the variables, let alone measure them
with any
... _ .l, fpotal
havior into a different category since it serves as u ^ justification for any behavior that advances the cau socialism.
the Strategy, Plans, and Policy Division of the OpNav
ofthe S! au‘h°r
Conclusion: A complete analysis of Soviet state and military behavior must include, above all, power politics, the residual influence of traditional Soviet foreign policy goals and domestic political practices, the legitimate needs of self-defense economics, and many other factors. But any analysis that does not account for ideology is fatally flawed. Ideology, mixed with these other factors and the increased military capabilities, provides a credible political force and is a danger to the Free World. Ideology is a device used to advance non-ideological goals and a constraint that makes achieving other goals more difficult.
The Soviets are prepared to manage a long-term competition with capitalism, emphasizing incremental gains. Ideology demands that the Soviets manage that competition with a spirit of elan and with the goal of victory. Ideology has transformed what could be peaceful international relations into a confrontational relationship that the West needs to manage properly in order to avoid setbacks and crises that could escalate to war. The United States has taken the lead in the West in recognizing the long-term competitive nature of this relationship with the Soviet Union and has made the necessary steps to formulate a true multidimensional national strategy. It is idealistic to think that military solutions alone will suffice.
Ideology supports the traditional Soviet goal of achieving security by ever-expanding borders. To the Politburo, security is not the ability to defend against only one enemy but must be attained in its absolute and ideological terms. Security must be strong enough to protect socialism from all enemies and will remain incomplete until all enemies are defeated.
Ideology demands that the party controls the Soviet state and that the state safeguards the party and its control over the empire. We must understand the significance of this need for security and control over the military when we ascertain our intelligence collection requirements and assess Soviet political-military options. We must look for Soviet capabilities that reduce perceived vulnerabilities. We must not expect the party to embrace Western concepts of deterrence that require institutional vulnerability.
Soviet military forces used in a war will attempt to achieve strategic goals which, if attained, will result in victory. Ideology demands no substitute. The use of military force to punish an aggressor has no foundation in party logic. We should not expect Soviet military plans to include essentially status quo postwar settlements. The new program the Communist Party adopted at its 27th Congress in February 1986 outlined the party’s fundamental goals and major beliefs, and established the framework for military doctrine.9
The Soviets are different in both the way they think and the way they interact with the West. This becomes a problem for the West when it attempts to contemplate Soviet options, learn about their capabilities, or attempt to predict their future behavior. Even if we identify the correct pieces of the puzzle and analyze them properly, we have the problem of our decision makers accepting the results of such analysis without themselves “mirror-imaging.”
Unlike the hard sciences—in which we know that the combination of sodium and chloride will always produce my dii ui me vdiiduico, ici aiunc mtaouiv degree of confidence. We cannot know how .mUCwor|(j variable influences the behavior of one nation in a (0 system in which all the variables and their relations 'P ^ each other are far from known. Ideology sets Sovi
'Nikita Khrushchev, Khrushchev Remembers (Boston, MA: Little, Brown Inc., 1970), p. 512: ^ b„t
“Peaceful coexistence among different systems of government is V°s^ ^^yal peaceful coexistence among different ideologies is not. It woul coeXjStenc« of our Party’s first principles to believe that there can be peace u .je0j0gy on between Marxist-Leninist ideology on the one hand and bourgeois the other.” P/lrfy'5
i pa'1} .
2Leonid Brezhnev, The Report of the CPSU Central Committee an ^ongress Immediate Tasks in the Fields of Domestic and Foreign Policy > 2 t pebrua0' the CPSU, 24 February 1976, reported in Pravda and Izvestiya on
1976, pp. 2-9: the
F h or altei
‘‘Detente does not in the slightest abolish, and it cannot abo is ee detenteas laws of class struggle. . . . We make no secret of the fact that wes s0cial>st a path leading to the creation of more favorable conditions for pea and communist construction.” fgadf
3A. S. Milovidov, ‘‘War and Social Progress,” Ch.V of Marxist-Len^^at, 19^‘ ings on War and the Army, D. A. Volkogonov, Ed. (Moscow: Voyen
between . u
‘‘Peaceful coexistence between socialist and capitalist states, oneWh)c two systems is not a class peace but a specific form of class strugg » ^ f0feign has the objective of excluding war from the arsenal of the res°^rcapitalislT1 ^ policy. In the conditions of peaceful coexistence, socialism an waging an acute struggle which does not escalate into war. ^ceful
Yu. Pankov, ‘‘In the Interests of Peoples: The Leninist Conception
Coexistence in Action,” Pravda, 5 November 1984, p. 6: .oliard
• nt a sates. •#
‘‘Peaceful coexistence of states with different social systems 1S n ^ nor »s 1 for regimes that are rotten through in their social and politica P a commitment to maintain the social ‘status quo.’ ” Hon/*
• • ConstruCU
4See S. A. Bartenev, ‘‘The Economic Factor in War and Military Ch.XIII of Volkogonov, op. cit. , pevel°P
5V. Zagladin in ‘‘The Correlation of Forces in the World Arena anwethodol°^ ment of International Relations (Some Problems of Theory and ^ th^ Mezhdunarodnaya Zhizn, No. 2, February 1985, pp. 68-79 oUt ^ soCiaUSII1‘jn stages of this shift in the long-term correlation of forces in favor o syst^-ra stage one, imperialism ceased to be the only all-encompassing w current tn stage two, imperialism ceased being the only world system. In c0ntinue‘A stage, military-strategic parity has been achieved and the shift wi ^ the A 6See V. S. Gorbunov, ‘‘Wars in Defense of the Socialist Father an complishments of Socialism—A Special Form of Just War > ^
Volkogonov, op. cit. <pactics» an
7Alex R. Alexiev, ‘‘The Soviet Campaign Against INF: Strategy*
Means,” Orbis, Vol. 29, No. 2, Summer 1985, pp. 348-350. seInbly at 1 President Ronald Reagan’s address before the U. N. General s .
commemoration of the 40th Anniversary, 24 October 1985. 28
9Pravda, 26 February 1986. Available in English in a supplement to 0
1986 FBIS Daily Report: Soviet Union (FBIS-SOV-86-O6O, V° •
Supp. 066).
the Sch°° nt
Commander Tritten received a bachelor of arts degree frorn ^{ge ft01 ^ International Service at the American University, a master s ^ p fr° Florida State University, and another master’s degree and authern ^ the School of International Relations at the University of fomia. He is a naval aviator with primary experience w aSS;gnmeI1.ej antisubmarine warfare. In addition to his operational duty du(1 Commander Tritten has been selected three times for ec*ucaratj0n ana
at civilian universities. He has also served at the Rand Corpo js ca
- -• • • -■ ~ stafL ,,etaO
rently Assistant Director, Net Assessment in the Office ~ ■ ., t,an of Defense. He is the recipient of this year’s Alfred Thayer of the year award sponsored by the Navy League.
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