Here is a prediction not self-evident. The last two years of the Bush administration will prove as turbulent, chaotic, and difficult tor the Pentagon as did the first six. Three points underscore this contrarian forecast.
First, the recently released report of the Iraq Study Group (ISG) and the policy debate it spawned signaled the beginning of a process that may lead to disengagement from Iraq. Regardless of how President Bush reshapes his Iraq strategy, major change is inevitable. That change will impose a major review of U.S. force structure, particularly with regard to ground forces and future funding priorities for the Pentagon, making tough choices and tradeoffs inevitable.