Cut-and-run? Stay the course? Perhaps Iraq's future lies in its division. The author explores the implications of such a policy.
The United States' strategy in Iraq has failed. Iraq is not evolving into the secular, multi-ethnic democracy envisioned by U.S. leaders; it is fragmenting into three autonomous regions—Kurd, Shia, and Sunni. Which group will control the Iraqi government is rapidly becoming irrelevant. The fighting is over how the territory of Iraq will be divided among the three ethnic groups. In short, the balkanization of Iraq is unfolding before our eyes with significant implications for U.S. policy.