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Today’s Navy is manned by volunteers such ct- these young recruits. But there are those who call it the “All-Volunteer Farce,” and clai>11 AVF has brought troubles in many ways W0?se than those associated with the hated draft. J> then, voluntary military duty continues to jw to meet our manpower requirements, must not consider some form of compulsory service-
11'
4
als
which have addressed that subject in recent moot ^ The tempo of activity is increasing in proportion ^ the growing awareness among responsible cltiz that the AVF is in trouble and faces even more sen
Anyone following the fortunes of our nations *l volunteer force (AVF) in the news media is awate the flurry of reports, studies, speeches, and editor1
oi>s
voi ceS
d
other
form of compulsory national service. Despite a lot
problems in the future. As more and more enter the debate, the discussion is turning towar pros and cons of returning to the draft or some °l“ r
COURTESY OF RECRUITER
testing of the water, however, there has been n( movement. As the reality of the AVF continues ^ become known, it is ever more clear that maint*11 ing the status quo will not meet the nation’s de e ^ needs in the future, so alternatives must be f0L\n ^ Clearly, a political roadblock exists where the dr*1 ^ concerned, but it is time to examine the real 111,1 power needs of our armed forces and to see how 1 needs can best be met.
A decision to return to the draft would not ^ popular. On the other hand, no one has ever afg that national defense is a game devised by strategy for the entertainment of the citizenry. Any deci on the draft will be decided by the political forceS c our nation, and one hopes that the ingredients
''mb
'n the service of one’s country. In fact, the draft
n°t used at the national level during the Revolu- States were given quotas which they filled in Way they could, often with considerable diffi-
45.
^at decision will include a clear analysis of all the cts» including our traditions and precedents conning conscription. The issue cannot be ultimately eC’ded on popularity.
j ‘storical Overview: Objections to returning to the , } are based upon many factors, not the least of thr'Ch *S °Ur historical experience.1 Americans have, 0ughout most of our history, gone out of their j to avoid using the draft and to avoid being tc‘d, legally or otherwise. Aversion to the draft in v v°|ut;ionary times was, however, linked to another ^ y ,rnportant issue, namely an attitude of fear and tred of standing armies or professional armies in Co^ ra*- Indeed, the Declaration of Independence the aine<^ nurnerous specific complaints directed at 0rJ r*tish armies of regulars stationed in the coll- S' ®ne of those complaints said simply that the • has kept among us, in times of peace, tuarndln8 Armies without the consent of our legisla- s- As Kipling’s famous poem “Tommy” ex- la Ses so eloquently, soldiers have never been popu-
,nie^eXCePt *n tlme war^’ and t*le Pr°fesst°naI ar_
s °f the 17th and 18th centuries were among the dr ^ated ‘n history. So the aversion to being ,. ‘ ted went deeper than a reluctance to risk life and ^as don.
any CUlty
tjl^Ur‘ng the War of 1812, suggestions were made
tjQ a national draft be instituted, but fierce opposi-
f()r Prevented any legislation from being passed be-
^ick • W3r en<^e<^- Indeed, the bitter intersectional
C] er,ng which threatened to lead to secession was
S.e|y related to the conscription issue.
Coj 1 t^le beginning of the Civil War, President Lin-
ealled for volunteers to fill the ranks of the
n'°n armies, and for the first year or so, men vol- unteerp j 1 i
re<J in adequate numbers. As the war dragged
For f
otnotes, please turn to page
on, and as casualties and then desertions mounted, it became necessary to turn to a draft, first by placing quotas on the individual states in 1862, and finally in the form of the first federal draft act. Public reaction to the Enrollment Act of 1863 was violent. The act was full of loopholes, inequities, and weaknesses. Largely because of the obvious injustices, violence and rioting broke out in New York and elsewhere in the North. Bounties were offered to fill the ranks, and more abuses and fraudulent practices were introduced, with the result that the entire experience left a bad taste with most people, and the experiment was not repeated until World War I. In fact, the situation was so chaotic that relatively few draftees actually served in the Union armies, the number being less than 5% of the total manpower used during the war.
The World War I experience proved to be far more orderly, largely because a conscious effort was made to avoid the pitfalls of the Civil War. The most striking aspect of the Selective Service Act of 1917 is that all volunteer enlistments were halted during the latter stages of the war so that the orderly flow of draftees into the ranks would not be upset by uncontrolled enlistments. Certain inequities remained, however. Chief among them was the classification of registrants according to their perceived value to the nation in their various civilian pursuits. The result of that provision, of course, was that the poor, underprivileged, and minorities were called in disproportionately large numbers. Nonetheless, some 24 million American men were registered for the draft; more than two million were inducted; an army of more than four million was raised; and well over one million men were delivered to France, all in just over a year.
The experience of World War I was repeated on a much grander scale in World War II. As events in Europe in 1939 and 1940 raised grave t concerns among the American people about national security needs, the first peacetime Selective Service System was instituted in October 1940. Deferments were granted liberally until the Japanese attack on Pearl Harbor. The shock of that event resulted in the reg-
s oi°e that
On 7 April 1917, one day after the United States declared war on Germany, the 1st Battalion of the New York Naval Militia marched to New York’s Pennsylvania Station to entrain for the Philadelphia Navy Yard where the unit was assigned to the USS Ohio. Under the Selective Service Act of 1917, 24 million registered and more than two million were inducted in just over a year.
istration of all males between the ages of 18 and 64, with those between 20 and 3 1 being liable for service. In November 1942, the top age was raised to 44, although a month later authorities decided that no one over the age of 38 would be drafted. Voluntary enlistments were again terminated in December 1942, this time because the Army Air Forces and the Navy were getting excessive volunteers, the ground combat arms too few. Thus, no volunteers were accepted between January 1943 and October 1945. Standards were raised and lowered throughout the war as manpower needs fluctuated. In total, of a population of more than 130 million, well over 16 million served in uniform during the war, including several hundred thousand women. A total of 4,828,000 potential inductees were rejected for one reason or another, the majority for physical defects.2
In the postwar period, the draft lapsed briefly in 1947 but was reinstituted shortly thereafter when tensions in Europe and Asia and the growing threat posed by the Soviet Union made it apparent that a standing military force of substantial size would be needed to maintain peace. Although never popular, the draft was tolerated without much overt protest until anti-Vietnam War sentiments led to growing feelings of hostility toward everything associated with the war. The foci of much of the hostility were the draft boards and ROTC units on college campuses. In what has been called by some a capitulation to social pressures rather than a realistic reassessment of defense needs, the draft was officially ended in mid-1973, with the last inductee actually entering the service in December 1972. In a paper published during that period, Morris Janowitz said of the institution of the all-volunteer force:
“The termination of conscription was one issue upon which antiwar congressmen and pressure groups could unite with the Nixon administration. The result was the effective political decision not to extend Selective Service legislation. . ,”3 Although the AVF experienced difficulties and the various branches of the armed forces ran into adjustment problems, the end of the draft was generally
viewed as a realistic measure because of the tenor the times. The hiatus in conscription allowed y°un^ Americans to cool off from the riotous war years, as the political turmoil subsided, the nation cau£ its breath and watched the AVF develop.
The All-Volunteer Force to Date: The record has far been mixed. Few have called the experiment ^ total failure, and none have called it an unqualify success. Aided by the tail end of the post-^°r ^ War II baby boom and serious econom problems—particularly high unemployment rates the services have been able to get reasonably cloSe _ their recruiting goals, though with difficulty. sidering the rampant anti-military feelings abroad 1 the country at the end of the Vietnam War, 1113 ^ observers were surprised that the services recruiter ‘ successfully as they did. By the last quarter of ^ however, all the services were in trouble; even ^ Air Force, which had never before failed to reach 1 goals, did not make its quota for that period.
Whether or not the services did as well or poorly as predicted in certain areas depends to extent on how one interprets the data. Claims the military would become unrepresentative of s°c
press and elsewhere. It is clear that the services aye paid a price in recruiting personnel in sufficient I btrs and of reasonable quality, and serious prob- Ms are emerging in certain crucial areas. For ex- th ^ 6 ^as^mKton P°st reported in August 1978
at> The Army and the other services have high at^s desertion, high incidences of abuse of alcohol other drugs, high percentages of dropouts before cj. Potion of a first term, high figures on the de- a^e National Guard and reserve strength ...” ^ c°ncluded that the most worrisome aspect of the ls that it has ‘‘never been properly anchored,” t a"ing, of course, that there is no draft machinery ad back on.6 Some three weeks after that article Qpeared *n the Post, General Bernard Rogers, Army Co*e^ toId rbe American Legion National
Ration: “I believe that today’s soldiers are to <>ri^ tbe best w*th whom I have had the privilege Serve in over 35 years of commissioned service.”7 ■ recently, allegations of widespread abuses in re-
nave
serv
More Cruit
lng> particularly in the Army and Marine Corps Jtawn attention to the apparent difficulties the n *^es are experiencing in attracting sufficient st | ers of recruits.8 Although investigations are
still
gest
Hak
ty’ an army of poor, disadvantaged whites and inorities, have not been entirely borne out. In cer- ^In rnonths, to be sure, black enlistments in the thTy were wel1 above a representative figure, and . Percentage of blacks in the Army has doubled k^ce the Vietnam War.4 That fact may or may not k Sl£n*ficant in terms of the Army’s effectiveness, in general—throughout all the services—the ^ F has not been distinctly different in makeup from , e ^raft period forces. Many observers claim, then, s*nce the services have at least come very close to S|>als in recruiting, that the great social experiment Maintaining a military force of over two million and women solely with volunteers has worked, j Vbe approaches the end of its sixth year, it is j-j ee<a difficult to call it a total failure. According to ^r- John P. White, Assistant Secretary of Defense i°r.,^anPower' Reserve Affairs and Logistics, the AVF as ' ■ • working surprisingly well, and in such areas Military strength, cost, personnel quality and dis- " Me, the evidence on the AVF runs directly pr, ter_ t0 many of the perceptions reported in the
Perceptions of problems have indeed been reported lr> the
ln progress at this writing, the known facts sug- that at the very least, even if the services are actj ln£ quotas or close to it, volunteers are not ex- th ^ beat‘ng down recruiters’ doors. Furthermore, of ;c°Se vvho do volunteer, many are ineligible for serv- °r a number of reasons, including lack of education and failure to meet physical requirements.
Concerning the overall success of the AVF, and more particularly the future problems that may arise, strong opinions exist on both sides of the issue, and both supporters and critics of the AVF can point to facts and statistics to support their claims. Interpretation of those facts is, of course, subjective, and historical comparisons are difficult since reporting methods have improved or changed, and definitions and criteria have been altered substantially. For example, as “simple” a matter as desertion rates and unauthorized absences as measures of quality may be an invalid basis for comparison with past times. Definition criteria such as the number of days of absence which constitute desertion, or other legal or administrative factors, are substantially different. Before the widespread use of computers, for example, a company first sergeant had “options” on reporting personnel absent which no longer exist because daily, computerized reports must be made. So comparisons with pre-AVF, especially pre-Vietnam, conditions must be examined carefully before conclusions can be drawn.
Why A Draft? If it can be argued that the AVF has been moderately successful, what is the real case for restoring the draft? Wouldn’t it be simpler to continue to refine and fine-tune the AVF rather than take the drastic step of returning to conscription? Cannot the services find remedies to their problems?
First, it must be said that arguments stating that the AVF has worked are strained to the breaking point, and that certain inconsistencies exist. Most of the “success” stories are based upon analysis of the active forces. When the total force policy of the United States is called in, a different picture emerges. While General Rogers has indeed praised today’s soldiers, he has also indicated that resumption of the draft might be a solution for the standby pool known as the Individual Ready Reserve, which by late 1977 was short more than 400,000 men. Another viewpoint is provided by Kenneth Coffey, who stated the following in a recently published study:
“The capability of the U. S. Army to respond to the challenges of a major conventional confron
tation in Europe between the forces of NATO an of the Warsaw Pact has been significantly reduce as a result of the decision to adopt an A Volunteer Force.”9
Coffey points out, as do others, that the current
size of the U. S. Army is based upon a total f°rce
policy, which is based upon an effective reserve.
other words, if we have, in fact, a total force pol'tT’
the AVF can hardly be called successful if a vital Part
of that force is not up to snuff. That is clearly r e
case with today’s reserves.
Second, the historical case against the draft aS
“anti-traditional” lacks validity. Where the draft h»s
been administered reasonably fairly, it has been aC
cepted without serious complaint by the American
people. Anti-draft sentiments which go back to
Revolution were as much anti-military as ant>^
conscription. When the clear need for more arme • • r hflS
military men and women than would volunteer ^
been perceived by the people, the draft was accepte '
Complaints were registered against unfair provisi0^
of the draft—once the hatred of armies in genet*
had dissipated—rather than against the draft ,tse^ Furthermore, the role of the United States in 'v°r
the
affairs has changed drastically since World War and for most of that period, the draft has been
norm. So our historical experience has been that ^ have used the draft successfully when needed. ^ deed, it is worth noting that during the latter stag of World War II, a group of distinguished educat°r
wrote to President Franklin D. Roosevelt, urg
in?
ftiee reasonable way to provide an opportunity to obl'C C^at °bhgation. Clearly, if all citizens felt that t^*kation and acted on it, we would indeed not need p/ The crux of this argument is whether
the- 6 S^0u^ he forced to give a share of their lives to ^ (jnatl0n”s arrned forces. Perhaps a comparison can ■ raWn. Most people feel a reasonable sense of ob-
tL °n to help the infirm, the underprivileged, and th W^° cannot adequately care for or protect
tjla^1Se*Ves- Charity would be a nice way to handle Wq ! ^ everybody gave enough to charity, there - U he no problem. But people don’t give that charity, and so we have higher taxes as a
mt*ch t0
h- In other words, if volunteer action took care
tesm of all
ari(. <>Ur social ills, life might indeed be more pleas- An °r a^’ ancf we wooftf not need drafts and such. Put art'c*e m The Christian Science Monitor recently e point very succinctly :
. At present citizens of the United States have sj^hts aplenty but few, if any, duties. . . . Why ooldn’t every citizen be reared to appreciate that
, e°se of his country is a common, shared respon- Slbility?”!! 1
Such
Wei8ht
philosophical points do not carry much
aricj . *n the realms of strategy, cost-effectiveness, han^International politics, to be sure. On the other Pev ' ITlany who have doubts about the AVF but are CQtierchcless reluctant to resort to the draft claim that 0thSCr’f>t'°n is politically unfeasible. It cannot, in er 'words, be sold to the people. The Congress
"'Quid
therefore be very unlikely to pass draft legisla
tion. But to make the draft palatable to the people, the issue of the citizen’s responsibility is one argument that would logically be employed, and it would have to carry a lot of weight. If the people perceive that a real threat to our security exists, and if they believe the AVF cannot meet that threat, they may support the draft as a reasonable alternative.
Fourth, the matter of cost is a major issue, both against the AVF and against the draft. AVF advocates claim the draft won’t save very much, if anything. In his fiscal year 1979 posture statement, Secretary of Defense Harold Brown stated, “A return to the draft would not, by itself, save much money,” citing a figure of $500 million, a small percentage of the defense budget.12 On the other hand, many have argued that the costs of the AVF are going to go even higher as the manpower pool continues to shrink, and that even if the draft realized no major savings in the near term, it would save quite a bit more over the long haul. Still others have argued that costs should not dictate defense strategies, so why raise that argument at all? Again, returning to the draft will be a political issue, and defense budgets do have political impact, so the matter of costs cannot be ignored.
te
responsible under the Constitution for passing la'vS “To raise and support Armies,” they might presum^ ably be allowed to dictate the general composition the armed forces, ERA notwithstanding. Again, c
if
issue of the draft should be decided on the basis
much healthier for the country to have a draft uu which all young people of military age are elig*ble be called up for a two-year period, so that we have army of trained civilians who can be called up *n emergency.”15
der
to
Most significant in the poll was the response young people of draft age. A total of 35% °h r^°S polled between ages 18 and 29 would favor a t"°^
year draft as opposed to the present system. From _
to rhe
olh
os*'
Secretary Brown added that the Department of Defense does . . not believe that the American people would favor a return to the draft to achieve a dollar saving that represents less than one half of one percent of the total Defense budget.”13 Perhaps not. But what would that figure become if projected over the next decade or so? Part of the answer lies in projections of the availability of manpower over the next ten years. The Congressional Budget Office has published a study demonstrating that manpower shortages will grow far more serious in the 1980s.14 The study concludes that between 1980 and 1990:
► The number of high school graduates will diminish by half a million.
► The number of non-graduates reaching age 18 will shrink by 300,000.
► The total number of l6-to-24-year-olds will shrink by 6.2 million.
These figures indicate that the struggle to attract manpower will become substantially more intense during the next dozen years. To attract more people, the services will have to provide more of an incentive for young men and women to enlist. Those incentives will either be higher pay or other costly items, such as educational benefits. So the answer to cost differences between AVF and the draft must be projected over that period.
An issue that has further confused the picture is the Equal Rights Amendment. Opponents of ERA claim that if a draft were instituted and ERA passed, then women would have to be drafted in equal numbers as men. Opponents of the draft use the same argument. Congress, however, has the constitutional authority to provide for armed forces, and if Congress determined that men are more effective in combat than women, then the question can be raised: would it be unconstitutional to draft more men than women to fill up combat units? Would women have to serve in combat? The answers remain to be found, but one thing is clear. The armed services have opened up virtually every field short of combat areas to women, and women are volunteering plentifully. They are not, however, solving manpower problems. If combat fields were opened to women without the draft, one must ask how many would then volunteer. It is clear that many women now serving would not have volunteered if they had been liable for combat duty.
What will occur if ERA passes and the draft returns is a subject for all sorts of speculation. It might be argued that even with ERA, Congress would not necessarily be obliged to recruit men and women in equal numbers if it could be shown that women did not perform equally as well as men in certain military fields—infantry, for example. Since Congress is
real defense needs, not upon what might happen ERA passes—or doesn’t pass, for that matter.
There are many forms which might be taken n c ^ nation indeed reinstitutes the draft. Proponents the various forms do tend to agree on one major point. If the draft is revived, it must be fair. Defin ing “fair” is something else again, particularly when the ERA issue is thrown in. On the matter of fairness, supporters of the AVF claim that no form of conscrip tion could be fairer than letting the burden of *■ fense be borne by those who volunteer to do it- 1 question then becomes whether the volunteers «^ joining to defend the country, or if they are, m feet, mercenaries. If the latter is true, does it matrer' More to the point, would it matter in combat? Tf>3 question is as tough to answer as all the rest, but can be bypassed by asking whether “fairness’ >s r real issue. Is it that, or the nation’s security?
Another way of approaching the question involve the alternatives for using the draft. All inducted might be drafted; some volunteers could be taken, men and women might be permitted to volunteer be drafted. A combination of those modes coU^ readily be employed, leaving the number to drafted dependent upon the number of volunteers-
The most crucial matter regarding the ac^. ceptability of the draft is ultimately the matter 0 public acceptance. An ABC News-Harris poll con ducted in November 1978 revealed the following-
► 53% of those surveyed favor a return to the draft -
► 66% of those polled favor immediate registrar*011 of all 18- to 28-year-olds.
► 76% agreed with this statement: “It would
an
an
by
61% who favor the present system, according contents of the news release concerning the P' cannot be concluded what form, if any, their opP1 tion would take if the draft were reinstituted. ^ fact that more than one-third of those who would ^ affected favor the draft is certainly a surprising me£lS ure of acceptance and an indication that many yollllt
ln 1968. After attending Amphibious Warfare School in 1971, he
^^ericans place national defense high on their list of
priorities.
T^e ^raft will not solve all defense manpower 0 lems. Many of the alternative management ac- k°ns designed to make the AVF work better should k 'mplemented in any case.16 Better pay, more ef- ctlve use of women, modifying of standards for cer- n jobs, providing better educational oppor- m L.tlSS rhose improvements would not only
a e the AVF work better; they would also make the ^ more palatable. If the effort needed to aid the a *S ^Ut *nt° ma^lnS t^ie draft fair and equitable, *nto educating the American public about the need for a draft, the long-term needs of defense r anP°wer will not be a matter of chance but the u t of a positive choice by the people of how they 3nt security handled in the future.
Lieutenant Colonel Sage was graduated from the U. S. Naval Academy in 1962. He served in the 1st and 2d Marine Divisions in the United States and commanded the 3d 175-mm. Gun Battery in Vietnam. Following a tour as an instructor at Fort Sill, Oklahoma, he attended the University of Heidelberg, Germany, as an Olmsted scholar, receiving a diploma in political sci-
Served a
rhis 3 t0Ur at NROTC Unit, College of the Holy Cross; during Ljeu^°Ur earned a master’s degree in history from Clark University. Nav jnant ^0l°nel Sage was the Marine Corps aide to the Vice Chief of
‘ operations in 1974-1975. Since 1975, he has served in the Special rojectc r\- . ..
Co u,rectorate of Headquarters Marine Corps. Previous Proceedings
"Nob Ut*°nS ^ave keen “The Military and Politics” (October 1974) and y Asked Me to Join a Union, But . . .” (February 1978).
'A useful summary of the history of conscription is contained in Richard V. L. Cooper, Military Manpower and the All-Volunteer Force (Santa Monica: Rand Corporation, 1977), pp. 46-59.
2C. Joseph Bernardo and Eugene H. Bacon, American Military Policy: Its Development Since 1775. 2nd ed. (Harrisburg: The Stackpole Co., 1961), pp. 428-430.
3Morris Janowitz, "The Impact of a Volunteer Force on Strategic Affairs,” in Frank N. Trager and Philip S. Kronenberg, National Security and American Society: Theory. Process, and Policy (Lawrence: University Press of Kansas, 1973), p. 579. This paper was first delivered in 1971. 4Curtis W. Tarr, “The Future of the All-Volunteer Force,” Air University Review. May-June 1978, p. 6.
■’Quoted in Bernard Weinraub, "Volunteer Army Pros and Cons,” Washington Star. 3 September 1978, p. 1 (emphasis added).
“Warren Rogers, “The All-Volunteer Army’s Bleak Future,” The Washington Post. 6 August 1978, pp. Dl, D5.
7Department of Defense News Release No. 245-78, "An Address by General Bernard W. Rogers ... to the 60th Annual National Convention of the American Legion, 24 August 1978,” p. 5.
“"Recruiting Scandals: Sympton of Trouble for Volunteer Forces,” U. S. News & World Report. 16 October 1978. p. 41.
^Kenneth J. Coffey, Manpower for Military Mobilization (Washington: American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research, 1978), p. 1. I0Bernardo and Bacon, p. 446.
"Charlotte Saikowski, “Let’s go back to the draft,” The Christian Science Monitor. 26 July 1978, p. 23.
,2Harold Brown, Department of Defense Annual Report: Fiscal Year 1979. 2 February 1978, p. 337.
,3Ibid.
l4National Service Programs and Their Effects on Military Manpower and Civilian Youth Programs (Washington: Congressional Budget Offices, 1978), pp. 41-42. (For sale through Superintendent of Documents.) 15ABC News-Harris Survey, released 6 December 1978.
1 “Edward W. Brooke, "Meeting Our Military Manpower Needs Through the All-Volunteer Force” (American Enterprise Institute: AEI Defense Review No. 5, 1977), p. 56, outlines a number of such management actions.
All-Volunteer Force in 1798
Lieutenant Daniel N. Wood, U. S. Coast Guard Reserve
ta/n 1798 America, the problem of finding and re- lng qualified personnel for the sea services was in rt,cularly urgent. The United States was involved ^ an Ur*declared naval war with France, for which a Ss,Ve mobilization effort was required. The Conti- at^ta* ^avy Lad been completely dissolved in 1785, sis t^*e country's or,ly operational naval force con- tcd of a handful of tiny, aging revenue cutters op. ed by fewer than a hundred men. Congress hast- created a Navy Department and authorized the ^ 1 onshment of a Marine Corps to augment the avy and the Revenue Cutter Service (forerunner of
the Coast Guard); in the meantime, hundreds of merchant vessels were arming themselves for selfdefense, causing an increased demand for experienced mariners. There was no reserve program, and nearly 20 years had passed since the naval campaigns of the American Revolution. Trained fighting men were hard to find. As a succession of new warships and revenue cutters was launched, an intensive recruiting effort began.
Impressment was a widely accepted method of securing manpower for contemporary European navies, but such practices were deplorable to the American