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j. ltT1Pose foreign influence upon Africa since it was ' ~ ’ among European powers in the late 19th
The most fertile ground for Communist conquests les *n those parts of the world where nations are jjeither strong nor linked in close alliances with great ,fee World powers. Ideally, there should be internal pension or conflicts between and among states can be exploited. Africa, for example, has all e necessary prerequisites to invite Communist over- Ures- Within several newly independent African J?tes> bitter tribal power struggles are under way. q ere are border disputes among African nations.
Ust*ng white governments in Rhodesia and the Re- b>ub>lic of South Africa is an emotional issue which smany black nations consider more important than v'ng their own internal problems. And Africa is art °f the “world island.”
^eopoliticians refer to Eurasia-Africa, the world s 8reatest landmass, as the “world island.” Located k^hin Eurasia, in the space generally occupied now ^ Russia, is the “pivot area” or “heartland, the ^°Ssession of which theoretically will lead to world ^ination. The Eurasian littorals are commonly re- ,rred to as the “rimland,” “marginal crescent, or ‘ntler crescent.” The rest of the world, including ,, e British and Japanese Isles, is considered the ^ter crescent” or “insular crescent.”
,^e Soviets have wasted little time in exploiting s- r‘Can instabilities. Employing military aid, Rus- th^ atl<^ Cuban advisors, and Cuban armed forces, eV have undertaken the most aggressive campaign
JSx ' '
CntUry. The use of Cuban troops and advisors as tro*ies in Africa is a subtle but sophisticated Soviet Ctlc- Apparently, the Soviets judged correctly that d opinion would not react adversely to a non- ^ *te Third World nation from Pan-America t ri0ther geopolitical designation) being employed to RPfe non-Communist African governments. Cuba
has more than 40,000 military personnel now operating in at least 14 African nations and poses additional threats to the governments of Zaire, Rhodesia, the Republic of South Africa, Chad, and the Western Sahara.
Soviet successes in Africa portend greater instability in the Middle East. Should the Soviets consolidate northern Africa, nations in the Middle East desiring to remain non-Communist would find themselves in the perilous position of lying among strong Communist camps.
The pattern of Soviet expansionism and probes indicates that the U.S.S.R. has outstripped even World War II Germany in geographical reach toward establishing control of the pan-region known as Eurafrica. There is an important difference in the Soviet approach. Rather than emulating German seizure of territories through direct armed aggression, the Soviets are employing subversive tactics engineered through third parties to create new Communist satellites.
It is one matter for Communists to subvert a state and reconfigure its government. It is quite another matter to ensure the loyalty of the new state to its Communist sponsor. The crushing of the Hungarian revolution in 1956 and the Czechoslovakian revolution in 1968 are vivid examples of how the loyalty of Communist satellites is to be maintained. The “Brezhnev Doctrine” has served notice that the Communists reserve the right to intervene forcefully in the affairs of any Communist satellite which forgets that its sovereignty remains qualified. Hungary and Czechoslovakia, of course, were immediately adjacent to Russia and easily punished by Soviet land forces.
It seems likely that Afghanistan, which recently fell to a leftist coup, would suffer the same fate as Hungary and Czechoslovakia should it choose to alter
tin?
salient
m the
en<J
phibious assault, would accomplish the same
il»r
its newfound political orientation. Its frontiers also abut upon Russia. But how will the alignment of noncontiguous Soviet satellites be maintained? Extending the “Brezhnev Doctrine” beyond the reach of Soviet land forces will require Soviet naval power. The Soviets know they will be able to contain the tides of satellite nationalism and self-assertiveness only through threat of military intervention. To be effective, that threat must be stronger and more credible than any hope of relief or assistance offered by any other nation.
The purpose of growing Soviet naval power, then, seems clear; it is a necessary tool for imposing and retaining Soviet dominance over the Eurafrican panregion. Its initial function will not be to challenge U. S. naval power on the high seas of the world; that may come later. Its immediate function will be to deny use of the seas in the Eurafrican pan-region to Free World forces which might interfere with imposition of Soviet influence upon Africa, the Middle East, South Asia, and later, Western Europe.
The Soviet strategy in Eurafrica employs five basic interlocking themes:
► Posturing as a nation which might seek peace: conducting arms limitation negotiations and avoiding direct Warsaw Pact troop commitment outside pact frontiers
► Directing NATO attention and resources toward the European central front by amassing land power on the Soviet western flank
► Protecting the Soviet southeastern flank by massing enough land power against China to discourage “collection of old border debts”
► Employing proxies and aiding dissident groups to establish Communist states in South Asia, the Middle East, and Africa
► Building a fleet which can control the seas within the Euroafrican pan-region in order to support Communist expansion, crush rebellious satellites, interdict Free World interference, and install a “Brezhnev Doctrine” over Eurafrica similar to Pan- America’s old Monroe Doctrine.
The Soviets have timed their African and South Asian adventurism to exploit apparent weaknesses on the part of other major world powers. China has internal problems, is involved with Cambodia and Vietnam, and has about 40 Soviet divisions camped on its doorstep. Western European nations are neither so closely knit nor individually strong that they might face a mounting Soviet threat in Europe and also counter manifold Communist probes in Africa. The United States, still licking self-inflicted Vietnam wounds, has been judged and found lacking the will to resist Communist expansion unless di
rectly and immediately threatened. ,
The Soviets see that they have time on their si The turmoil in Africa will surely last through t turn of the century, leaving two or three decades geopolitical manipulations. Free World societies creasingly look upon military service and defense ^ penditures as undesirable burdens. The Soviet ^ class aircraft carriers are just coming on line, w we stretch the lives of already aged aircraft carrier We have some grim years ahead.
Countering Soviet Geopolitical Strategy: Frustra
Soviet ambitions in Eurafrica will require two
traits on the part of the United States: dornm
naval power and the will to use it. Free World sur
val hinges on our ability to dominate both blue ^
and narrow seas in the Eurafrican pan-region, an
thrust armed men onto hostile shores when ^
where required. We cannot hope to counter ^
Soviet threat with a one-ocean Navy or a one-o
capability for forcible entry from the sea. Massing
control forces and amphibious forces from
oceans to counter a single area threat involves u
and risks which are simply unacceptable. A c'
ocean naval force will be a vital requirement
coming years. j
We must have the depth in dominant j
strength to permit us to maintain freedom of v1^
strategic sea lines of communication and comm
worldwide while choking off acts of Communist
gression at their roots. It makes little sense, f°r 1
ample, to commit U. S. forces to stifle Cuban *
gression at multiple points in Africa when a ^
naval and air blockade of Cuba, with threat of 3
nd-
Yet, correcting Cuba’s misadventures or sim ^ threats should not require that strategic naval ployments in the Pacific or Atlantic be withdra for such a course of action would invite other opP tunistic Communist activities into the vacuum- Nations of Africa, South Asia, the Middle ‘ and even Western Europe can choose to resist ^ pressures only if they can be certain of solid ' ^ support. That support must include the assLira^.^ that overwhelming U. S. military power can and * be brought to bear when and where required m fense of an ally. The seas remain the crucial path"* for supporting alliances today and tomorrow. j
In supporting allies or in planning for uniia ^ actions, we must be especially careful not to be lu into a false sense of security by apparent advantag^ of air power and air transport capabilities. Vain3 as they are, they cannot provide the mass and vo ^ required for sustained military operations, and r
re8ion.
Third World states may be pressured to
ertake actions, such as closure of strategic
*** secure terminals. Captain John Moore, editor
artes Fighting Ships 1977-78, reminds us in his
0reWord:
^ Despite the enormous technical advances of the .t fifty years, over ninety-five percent by weight Mankind’s commerce depends on sea-lanes. The nsport of armies requires the essential support snips whilst only a maritime strategy can supply ^ e long-term waiting game which could well in- ^Uence the final outcome of a political crisis.” ^ith” ^ov'ets naval power increases concurrently ex ^Xlr efforts to consolidate Eurafrica, we may
'e Ct a growing propensity on their part to chal- D. S. naval forces within the Eurafrican pan-
und,
erways which would threaten U. S. interests, hto 1 nava^ forces may seal off both air and sea ap- a ,acfies to areas they are exploiting. We will require and^nani'C’ balanced fleet to meet those challenges <>pe reta*n both freedom of movement on the seas and J1 1'felines to threatened allies. na r>ere safe passage through straits, canals, and rria^°'v seas may require control of dominating land where strategic islands must be seized and q en<^ed, and where advance naval bases are re- 0f ‘T amphibious operations will be a vital element afc> e Sea contr°l function. The rimlands of Eurasia Und in sites where sea control is dependent upon
the ability to control adjacent landmasses. Amphibious assault is often the key to initiation and successful prosecution of land campaigns. The Eurasian rim- land is an excellent example of terrain which in many cases would demand an amphibious assault capability for successful military operations. Except for its link with Africa at Suez, Eurasia is surrounded by sea and ringed with peninsulas, islands, and isolated mainland terrain features which constitute islands in the military sense.
There are 8,000 miles of coastline from the northern flanks of Norway around to the Mediterranean, and the western edge of the Pacific consists of a 6,000-mile string of almost closed seas delineated by the East Asian coast and offshore islands. There are some places along those 14,000 miles of coastline where we would not nor could not conduct an amphibious assault. But within that broad reach of territory are many suitable landing sites, and no enemy, no matter how powerful, can defend all of them simultaneously.
While it may be difficult to establish a beachhead at some remote corner of the world, the fact remains that it can be done. Not doing so might well be the only unacceptable option. What are likely locales in the Eurasian rimlands where amphibious forces might be employed over the next few decades? We can pinpoint many of them just by looking at a world map. We will consider not only those sites strategically critical to the Free World but to the Warsaw Pact nations as well.
The flanks of Western Europe contain key choke points which control both air and sea-lanes required by friend and foe alike. Norway and Denmark overlook the Soviet Baltic Fleet egress. Iceland and the Faeroes flank the main thoroughfare used by the Soviet Union’s mighty Murmansk fleet.
To the south, the Azores are strategic stepping- stones to the European theater. Gibraltar, Malta, Crete, and the Suez are guardians of the Mediterranean. Greece and Turkey funnel Russia’s Black Sea fleet through the Thrace-Aegean corridor. Farther east, the Red Sea, Gulf of Aden, and Persian Gulf are gateways to vital oil fields, and Diego Garcia serves as our Indian Ocean terminal. To the west, the Marianas are our link with the Western Pacific. The Straits of Malacca, Strait of Sunda, and Molucca Passage are important controlling valves in the maritime flow of oil and other resources. We have commitments to South Korea, Japan, and the Philippines. La Perouse Strait and the Kuriles, if dominated, can bottle up Russia’s Pacific Fleet out of Vladivostok. The isolated Soviet submarine base at Petropavlovsk would be a lucrative target for an amphibious raid in time of war.
Three factors become evident in this brief examination of strategic locales:
► They are rather evenly distributed in the Atlantic and the Pacific. Despite the importance of NATO, we have major economic ties in the Pacific.
► The U.S.S.R. does not face only toward the Atlantic, but has a Pacific flank and a Pacific fleet, both of which must be dealt with.
► Our three active Marine Corps division/wing teams are so disposed as to provide flexible and swift
response to both major geographic areas. .
All these strategic locales are potential cont|n 6 3hibi'
gency assignments for Navy/Marine Corps ampr ^ ous forces. Some of them are the same target areas ^ which Soviet naval infantry forces (the equivalent
our Marine Corps) are aimed, and rightly so. FroiA
those locations, the Marine air-ground team can
con
tribute materially to both sea control and land
fare campaigns through interdiction, by its org*
air elements, of Warsaw Pact shipping and aviation ^ At this point, it is fair to ask why all the coast ^ states of Africa are not included as potential contin^ gency sites. Certainly, the southern African Iittor‘,^ should not be ignored. Yet, Communist activity Africa or elsewhere should not be permitted to ut our attention too greatly from the Eurasian rimlan
While the world recently mused upon Commu
nisf
the
activities in Africa, Afghanistan slipped under r
irUsl
Soviet wing scarcely noticed, and a Commu wedge was driven quietly through south Asia hal | ‘ ^
to
the Persian Gulf. The historical Soviet g0.
al
gaining warm-water ocean ports in the Eurasian
riifl'
land has not been abandoned. We must frustrate
pot
iiw„ efforts to control key choke points which now thro
only their drive for warm-water ports, but their ^
their naval ambitions. Control of the rimlan^
Eurasia remains the key to checking Soviet
ex
pansionism. . I
How effective can three Marine Corps divisl wing teams be against the massive might of Waf ‘ Pact forces and Soviet client states? The answer
this: extremely effective. Bear in mind that fevV^
than 45,000 Cubans, referred to by one critic
seventh-rate fighters, have more than exceeded S°v
• • Cot
expectations in exploiting Africa. A Marine
division/wing team offers more than 50
The Amphibious Assault Landing Craft ‘‘Jeff-Bseen undergoing tests last year with the Spiegel Grove (LSD-32), is one of only two air-cushion landing craft we have been able to develop in just over a decade of trying. The Soviets, who got the same idea about the same time, now have a fleet of 40 such craft.
198 0
Need to Build 3.37 Ships Per Year to Retain 70
1984
1998
Need to Build 4.27 Ships Per Year to Retain 70
(Start Building 1980) (Start Building 1984)
ITlUt|nes' all first-rate fighters—to counter Com- jn ^,lst challenges. Remember that the tide of battle 1^ . °fea Was reversed by the landing of marines at reC()Wn *n 1950. President Syngman Rhee of Korea n‘2ed the significance of that reversal: “You vict neS bought hope to my people. You brought us H>fy when all we had known was defeat.”
Stro lst0ry is replete with examples of how a few
ri8ht
n8 men, committed at the right place at the
"'otld
tlrne, have saved nations or rearranged the
^ap. U. S. Marines stand ready for commit- Pla *n ^e^ense °f U- S. interests at any time and H ^0Wever' gating marines to the right place in Ufas’an r‘mlands at the right time, and support- gr / eni> may become a problem if we don’t up- e 0L*r naval forces.
0,
fenSe ^aval Force Shortcomings: Several top-level de-
sh;. stufiies have concluded that about 600 naval "ps
Paf>abl,
best(
w°uld be required to field a two-ocean Navy e °f countering the Communist threat. The
5qq °Ur current shipbuilding rate promises is about a ip naval force, if that, in the 1990s. voi ■ jttlSe °ff'c*als> both civilian and military, have fle X doubt over the ability of the present U. S. Sea to counter Soviet naval power in the Norwegian ^astern Mediterranean, the extreme flanks of • Such doubts do little to cement our alliances
on the NATO flanks. Moreover, in the latter case, it is precisely the Eastern Mediterranean which is required by the Soviets to bridge land power to Africa and isolate the Middle East.
Our amphibious warfare ship forces, which will play a crucial role in retaining freedom of the seas within Eurafrica, are not only insufficient in strength, but they also face massive block obsolescence. In the four-year period from 1999 to 2002, 40 ships will reach retirement age. It would require building at least three amphibious warfare ships each year to retain even our current austere level through the turn of the century; we are building fewer than one ship a year.
In 1980, we will have 64 active amphibious warfare ships, equally disposed in the Atlantic and Pacific. Since about 15% of our ships will be tied up in overhauls and repairs at any given time, we would have about 54 amphibs available for a contingency. It takes about 50 amphibs to lift a single Marine Corps division-wing team, or marine amphibious force (MAF). Assembling ships from around the globe to form a single MAF lift entails unaffordable,risk and delay.
We need an amphibious warfare ship force capable of lifting at least one and two-thirds MAFs in order to counter Soviet “peacetime” expansionism. Disposed with one MAF lift capability in the Atlantic and
Eurafrican pan-region. Only dominant na can provide the necessary military support to u Eurafrican nations an alternative to Communist fluence. A two-ocean navy with a two-ocean^ ^ phibious assault capability will be required to Soviet expansionism and protect U. S. inter worldwide in the coming years.
two-thirds of an MAF in the Pacific, the proposed force would provide a credible amphibious assault capability on both Soviet flanks without relying on either the Suez or Panama Canal for transit. Response time to NATO’s littorals with an Atlantic MAF would be cut in half; at the same time, a credible amphibious capability would remain in the Pacific.
In addition to our shortage in amphibious lift shipping, we are plagued with old and slow surface assault craft. More than a decade ago, both the United States and the Soviet Union embarked upon programs to develop air-cushion landing craft. These true amphibians, which can cross the waterline to deliver loads to hard ground inland of the beach, offer tremendous advantages over our obsolete conventional types. The Soviets have tested a half dozen prototypes and have a fleet of about 40 air-cushion craft of three sizes supporting their naval infantry. During the same time, we have built only two air- cushion landing craft prototypes, both of which are now undergoing evaluation.
It will take time, money, and men to increase our naval strength significantly. Since naval programs span about ten years from inception to fruition, we
have precious little time to experiment further m ^ riving least-cost solution models for curing our ‘ ^ shortcomings. World events may already have put a shade behind.
Conclusions: There is ample evidence to supP°r^ speculation that the Soviet Union has embarked L1P^ a massive long-term campaign to extend Comm ^ influence over the area described by geopolitit|C^ as the Eurafrican pan-region. As part of that ^ paign, the Soviets are building a strong naval which will be used to support expansionist activ enforce the Communist alignment of new sate and prevent interference by Free World nations Soviet activities within Eurafrica. . j
To counter Soviet geopolitical strategy, the U States must maintain naval superiority within
aval Pof
operations within the Eurasian rimland. That will center upon both supporting sea control °P ^ tions in the Eurasian littorals and providing a P jeS tive supportive link with nations whose pe°P choose not to acquiesce to the Communist y0^e\^ carrying out their role, fleet marine forces °Per‘j from amphibious warfare ships must be preparL perform a broad spectrum of functions, to incm
64
Proceedings / June
On-:
site presence in forward afloat deployments ering tangible evidence to allies of U. S. support
deterring actions contrary to U. S. interests Strengthening allied defenses through joint excises
^aPid crisis control capability % ^mediate and credible response • an<^ ^ex‘t>le combat buildup, if required
t ul*y equipped readiness to fight
Offc
Shi
Sea
owing of full U. S. commitment
# control support Seizure and defense of advance naval bases Control of land masses dominating straits, nar- t u>w seas, and canals
ottling up enemy naval forces by seizing and t 0tcupying key terrain dominating choke points uterdicting enemy air and naval forces by em- t Ploying organic Marine Corps aviation assets Conducting destructive raids on enemy naval bases
4and campaign support
Seizing beachheads to facilitate introduction of % llnd forces ashore
Conducting secondary or diversionary attacks; t <)Pening additional fronts
nterdicting extended enemy lines of communi- ^ cation and supply
y marine would be quick to point out that none
us near the one and two-thirds MAF lift necessary to protect our national interests. Conversely, reducing our amphibious warfare ship forces at this critical time might be interpreted widely as ceding Eurafrica to the Soviets.
Countering Soviet geopolitical designs regarding Eurafrica will be largely a naval task, with emphasis upon a powerful capability to control the seas, thrust marines onto hostile shores where necessary, and sustain them as long as necessary. It will not be a pleasant task, nor one enthusiastically hailed by the average U. S. citizen. After all, the Eurasian rimlands and continental Africa are far from home, and seem of little immediate strategic value to the United States.
Somehow, we must interest people in looking at maps. Perhaps they will see that, with the “world island” fenced by a bamboo and iron curtain, and the U. S. fleet appearing only as a fugitive, America will become a lonely place. We are morally obliged to bequeath to future generations a more palatable legacy.
— »» wuiu mv. vjuivu pvmii uui uuu uuuv.
jghf^ tasks are novel ones. What should be high-
though, is that in coming decades we will
need th . ■ ■
task • caPability to carry out the full scope of these
EUra ,ln both the Atlantic and Pacific sweeps of the
Sp0f lan cimlands, and in other potential trouble
()Ur aS We^- Both our friends and foes must perceive
ble V^r^dwide response capability to be fully credi-
Colonel Hopkins enlisted in the Marine Corps as a pri- v‘1te >n 1952. After completion of Officers Candidate ,«* *3* School, he was commissioned in 1953 and subsequently served as platoon leader and company commander before becoming executive officer of Marine Barracks. Indian Head, Maryland. After receiving airborne training at Fort Benning, Georgia, and holding various staff billets, he went to Vietnam in 1965 as S-4 officer for the First Battalion, First Marine Regiment. He served as marine representative with Army Special Forces at Fort Bragg, North Carolina, then returned to Vietnam in 1968-1969 to command two different battalions, 2/4 and 2/7. He received his master’s degree from the Naval Postgraduate School in 1970, served with the Naval Material Command, then studied at the Naval War College. After serving as executive officer of Marine Barracks,
Washington, D.C., he served from 1975 to 1978 in the Amphibious Ships Requirements Branch at Headquarters Marine Corps. He is now commanding officer of the 4th Marine Regiment, Third Marine Division.
Our
three active Marine Corps division/wing are ready, able, and highly suited for opera- Pbib' ln Eurasian rimlands. However, our am- Cta^l0Us Warfare ship forces, including surface assault ern' are pearly 'n nee<d of strengthening and mod- 2ation. A positive and aggressive shipbuilding
C‘a
UlS
hons
Pr0
Shib
Mam is of particular urgency, both to increase our
siv 1 ,0us assault capabilities and to prevent mas- Crit. °ck obsolescence of amphibious ships at a c‘d point in the future.
An
cjitj( ‘ lr|creased shipbuilding program, including ad- cari >na* assault ships, is one of the clearest signals we
that
As
Send to the Communists, and the world at large, intend to oppose Communist imperialism.
shipn exarnPle °f positive actions, adding four more ge to the ongoing LHA (amphibious assault ship f)e ., a‘ purpose]) program would lend tremendous
le*ibil
‘ty to our amphibious force posture and bring
Lieutenant Colonel Warren was graduated from Southern Illinois University in 1961 with a bachelor of science degree in education. He was commissioned a second lieutenant that same year through the Platoon Leaders Class program, then served as a platoon leader in the First Marine Division. After a tour as combat cargo officer of the USS George Clymer (APA-27), he served as company commander in a reconnaissance battalion in Vietnam in 1967-1968. He was then inspector-instructor for Marine Reservists in Waukegan, Illinois, before undergoing Vietnamese language training and then serving in 1971-1972 as senior advisor to the 6th Infantry Battalion of the Vietnamese Marine Division. After completion of Command and Staff College at Quanitco, Virginia, he was assigned to the staff of Commander Amphibious Group Two in the USS Mount Whitney (LCC-20). Since 1976, Lieutenant Colonel Warren has been with the Amphibious Ships Requirements Branch of the Operations Division at Headquarters Marine Corps.