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These Indochinese, seen trudging over a rickety bridge at dawn, carried no arms in their fight against the French. Their concealed weapon was an indomitable will and, with it, they forged a human chain that hobbled and then humbled the French and, later, the Americans. Our military might was paralyzed—and seems to remain so today—by indecision and lack of heart for any kind of a fight.
We can never know the full story of mankind because we have not yet found the opening chapters of his history. However, at the point where written records begin (circa 3600 B.c.) we find that man was already busily engaged in warfare. Then, if we backtrack the obscure paths of fragmented information that predate the written records, we can rationally conclude that some form of physical conflict was common and had been since man first rose onto his two hind feet and began to mold the planet to meet his many and diverse needs.
The initial impetus for fighting seems to have been the achievement of an immediately discernible gain that would fill the needs of an individual: i.e., food, land, water, wealth, wives, or slaves. These conflicts were physical in nature and the decision as to who was the winner or loser quickly evident, the winner being alive and the loser dead.
As civilization progressed, we see that along with the development of agriculture, religion, writing, government, and commerce, man also raised the levels of his skills in the art of warfare. The aim of combat was gradually shifted from a means of satisfying an individual need to one of fulfilling the collective goals of a tribe, nation, or empire. The desired results for both the ruler and his subjects, however, remained essentially the same as those of primitive man: land, food, water, wealth, wives, and slaves.
Since the end goals of combat still remained desirable within the warring groups—the battles were fought hand to hand, and they involved almost every ablebodied man who owed allegiance to a national or ethnic grouping—it is doubtful that the people of those days were really cognizant of the subtle changes that were taking place in their wars. However, changes there were, and superior leaders were already making innovations in military tactics and strategy that would enable a resourceful and imaginative commander to overcome the sheer force of larger numbers by use of cleverness, deception, improved troop dispositions, closer command and control, and new weaponry.
Deception was used with great effect in one of the earliest battles about which we have sufficient information to reconstruct. This was the Battle of Kadesh, fought in 1288 B.c. between the Hittites and the Egyptians. In the fourth century B.c,, Philip of Macedonia created an army with an infantry phalanx that enabled four ranks at once to take the enemy at spearpoint. On the left and right of this solid holding force, he put striking wings of flanking cavalry. Alexander the Great, his son, used this basic formation in virtuoso fashion to defeat armies that outnumbered his by as many as 20 to one.
A seemingly insignificant idea like the placement of stirrups on a saddle changed the role of a cavalryman into that of a highly maneuverable shock trooper capable of handling heavier weapons with greater effect against foot soldiers. Endless examples of such actions could be listed, but there is little requirement for a lengthy dissertation of tactical and strategical innovations in the history of warfare to support the fact that the victors in most ensuing wars were those who had the foresight and perspicacity to take advantage of either new equipment, new ideas, or both.
As civilization became more sophisticated, man added principles, religion, and political ideals to his list of reasons for fighting. Some cynical historians believe that the end goals of even this type of war were still the same as the old ones: land, water, food, wealth, wives, and slaves. Whatever the real truth, the thread of warfare continued to weave its way through the history of civilization. It has always been with us, constantly changing, and usually the final arbiter of which peoples, nations, and civilizations lived and which died. New social concepts, new political systems, new governments, new religions, and new lands all came and went with terrible frequency. But, right up to the present, warfare remains common to all times, all lands, and all people. Knowing this, it does not seem prudent to believe that any nation can long alter or escape the deadly pattern of national and international conflict that is revealed by 5,000 years of known history. Whether we like it or not, war has existed in the past, exists now, and will exist in the foreseeable future. And, only those peoples who have been well prepared to cope with their potential opponents forcefully and intelligently have been able to avoid war. Those who trusted to faith, goodwill, and token armed forces have perished.
The difficulty in getting this seemingly obvious message across to people today lies in the complexity of our national and international society. Threats are vague, weapons are given legendary capabilities, and our citizens cling to hopeful memories of past capabilities. Even warfare itself is no longer definable in terms of open hostility. This fact has been recognized within our society by use of terms such as "hot war,” "cold war,” "detente,” and "peaceful coexistence.” This attempt to define for the general public how different leaders and administrations view the status of our difficulties with the Soviet Union compounds the problem in that the terms are vague and often mean different things to different peoples and governments. Most important, they confuse the issues and obscure for the public the fact that the situations and events they are being used to describe are really continuing actions in a long-term battle between conflicting ideologies. It is a battle that must end with a winner and a loser at some point in the future. To conceive of the situation otherwise is to ignore every lesson that was paid for so dearly in the past.
According to the official Soviet position, the Soviet Union has practiced the policy of "peaceful coexistence” since the U.S.S.R. came into being. The January 1975 issue of the Soviet Journal The Working Class and the Contemporary World stated it this way: ". . . peaceful coexistence is a specific and highly effective form of the class antagonism and historic rivalry between world socialism and world capitalism. This policy is an important integral part of the world revolutionary process.”
Or again, to quote Mazurov, a member of the Politburo and First Deputy Chairman of the U.S.S.R. Council of Ministers, who said on 4 June 1975:
"The policy of peaceful coexistence and the relaxation of tension is creating favorable conditions for social progress throughout the world. It is under these conditions that the national liberation movement has achieved fresh successes in Southeast Asia and Africa. It was in a detente situation that the collapse of the fascist regime in Greece took place and the democratic forces in Portugal won their outstanding victory.”
From these examples—and obviously more are available—it appears that the Soviets and their Communist allies have grasped the new nature of international struggle more clearly than has the Free World.
That one side in a conflict—even a confusing one—is able to make such a mental breakthrough is not unprecedented. It is doubtful that all participants in what we now call the Punic Wars recognized that the series of battles and peaces that took place over a period of 118 years were really only parts of the same long-term, continuing struggle for control of the Mediterranean Sea and its littoral land areas. The same long-term pattern for control of various parts of the world holds true for the Hundred Years War, the Napoleonic Wars, and, in our own time, the World Wars.
This lack of vision apparently results from human nature itself. Most individuals are interested only in those events that affect them personally. They tend to view them in isolation, each with its own cause and effect, and each having a finite beginning and end. World War I to them is World War I. It is distinct from World War II. Korea, Vietnam, the Mideast, and revolutionary actions throughout the world all fit in separate slots. Only those with an understanding of history or great ambition to impose a religious, economic, or political idea on others seem to grasp the interrelationship of warfare. To them, each battle, each "war” is only a part of a greater whole leading eventually to one victor. That it may take 100 years to reach an eventual solution to the main cause of the conflicts is of no consequence. The end result is the only thing of importance and this type of individual or group of individuals, is willing to wait patiently, fighting where it can or must, until the tide of events swings in its favor. Then, if the group’s opponents do not recognize and check its advantage, the members of the group use it to attain their goals.
It is always difficult to determine precisely any single event that brings about such a shift of strength and military advantage in a long series of continuing conflicts between major powers. For it is usually not just one event. Rather, it is a consolidation of the lessons learned as a result of several actions. Sir Gavin deBeer in his book Hannibal: Challenging Rome’s Supremacy (New York: The Viking Press, 1969) writes of the turning point in the Punic Wars:
"The treaty that ended the First Punic War differed in its effects on the two contenders. On Rome it impressed the necessity of possessing and maintaining sea-power, which increased in importance as Rome ceased to be concerned solely with military operations in Italy, and was drawn more and more frequently into wars in distant lands. Without it, the Roman Empire, which came into existence long before the Empire [hegemony over a major part of the known world], would never have been possible.”
Making such evaluations from the safe distance of time and greater knowledge is relatively easy. However, we must recognize that this factor was so obscure to the
With the two-edged sword of sea power, ancient Carthage carved for itself most of what is today Spain's southeastern coast. But it was his enemy’s sea power that forced Hannibal, the Carthaginian military genius, to scale the Alps and ford the Rhone, left, rather than challenge Roman control of the Mediterranean.
participants that recognizing the value of sea power in what had been ostensibly a land war was a major breakthrough in Rome’s final victory over Carthage.
In our own situation, it is very likely that future historians may mark the Cuban Missile Crisis of 1962 as a major turning point in our own series of World Wars. In that confrontation, we achieved the victory, but the Soviets apparently learned the lessons. In the aftermath of their forced withdrawal of missiles from Cuba, the Soviet leaders were obviously impressed with the extreme dangers of a head-to-head conflict between the superpowers. Also, they became well aware of their inability to use the awesome power of their large land forces in distant confrontations unless they had a navy that could control the seas. This made them intensely aware of the need for superior sea power and the requirement for new approaches in spreading the doctrine of Communism to distant nations.
Correction of the problem of naval inferiority was relatively simple. It was basically one of time and resources, both of which were available. The Soviets committed them to the direction of Admiral Sergei Gorshkov. He was so successful in his part of the plan that 15 years later, the Soviet fleet outnumbers ours three and four to one in various categories of fighting ships. The Soviets are clearly ahead in naval missiles, both strategic and tactical, surface and subsurface launched. The editor of Jane’s Fighting Ships, Captain John Moore, author of the book The Soviet Navy Today (New York: Stein and Day, 1976) has stated that the Soviet Navy has the "greatest firepower” of any fleet that ever existed and could menace all the world’s sea-lanes, especially if it gained bases in Angola. The second part of the equation—new techniques of conflict—was more difficult to resolve, but it appears the Soviets have been equally successful in that area.
A review of the known history of warfare reveals certain discernible patterns that provide us rational guidelines on which to develop new stratagems. By this I do not mean total adherence to actions that produced security or victory in the past, but rather a broad review of the changes that were made by different leaders to take advantage of different conditions. In doing this, one of the major points that becomes immediately evident is that a nation which plans or fights a future war by slavishly using the tactics and concepts of prior wars will most likely lose to an opponent who has properly evaluated the political and sociological changes that have occurred in the intervening years.
Karl von Clausewitz, the great Prussian general and strategist, made a tremendous impact on the strategic nature of warfare by his simple statement that war is not merely a political act, but also a political instrument, a continuation of political relations, a carrying out of the same by other means. Alfred Thayer Mahan created new concepts of national military requirements through his recognition that sea power forms the solid base on which all military campaigns must be planned. The development of atomic weapons during World War II, however, confused our understanding of these, as well as other, basic rules for the conduct of warfare.
The startling breakthrough in military weaponry created by nuclear weapons dominated most military and political thinking in the succeeding years. The awesome power potential overshadowed the evidence provided by the Korean and Vietnam Wars that it is a weapon no more potent as a realistic alternative than poison gas or bacteriological warfare, which had been available—but not used—for many years. We have found evidence in ancient writings that there were agreements far in the past between the warring nations that prohibited the poisoning of wells. Consequently, even though a single weapon system may be tremendously destructive, it may also be in reality too powerful to be used in the types of disputes between nations that have been historically settled by armed conflict.
In fact, military trends since World War II indicate strongly that nuclear, biological, and chemical weapons are in reality "stalemate” weapons. Where two opposing superpowers possess such weapons, neither can employ them routinely without fear of retaliation. This neutralizing effect results from the fact that the purpose of warfare since the beginning of time has been primarily for either individual or collective profit. Since national suicide is not a profitable result for any people to contemplate, these types of weapons are really maintained and required only for blunting or deterrence purposes: in effect, mutual blackmail. In actual combat today, they are not militarily usable weapons. Consequently, a nation or society that pictures a distinct military advantage being derived from the possesion of such weapons is basing its plans on a false premise within the context of wars that are acceptable in our era.
Many argue that today no conflict is acceptable. However, this is an unreal viewpoint, for armed conflicts at various levels of intensity continue to take place throughout the world. We may not see these small wars as detrimental or threatening to our society or democratic form of government. But that in itself is part of the innovative warfare that has been introduced by our opponents.
To indicate the Soviet viewpoint on warfare today, Premier Aleksei Kosygin has stated that:
"The policy of peaceful coexistence . . . proceeds from the inadmissibility of the application of force in solving disputed questions among states. But this in no case means the rejection of the right of peoples, arms in hand, to oppose aggression or to strive for liberation from foreign oppression. This right is Holy and inalienable and the Soviet Union unfailingly assists peoples which have risen in struggle. . .
Events of the past few years in many diverse areas of the world certainly prove the sincerity of those remarks. Further, we should recognize from them that there must be some long-range advantage involved for the Soviets to pursue such a policy. To determine what this gain might be, a good place to begin is with the writings of General Vo Nguyen Giap, the North Vietnamese strategist charged with militarily implementing the political theories of Ho Chi Minh. General Giap developed a revolutionary strategy for victory that eventually proved itself effective against even a superpower.
Very early in the war for control of Vietnam, no outside military observer would have given North Vietnam any chance of military victory over France and the United States. The imbalance of military power was just too great. General Giap, however, had recognized a
flaw in the international power equation that could be used to offset military disparity. He was so certain of his concepts and so confident of his opponent’s inability to grasp them that he had no hesitancy in revealing his basic theories. In his History of People’s War, Giap wrote: . . revolutionary war, [is a] war by the entire people, total war . . . fought on both the military and political levels.” Further, he paraphrases Clausewitz by saying "Armed struggle has developed on the basis of political
struggle brought to a higher level.” Or, in another form, . . armed struggle is the continuation of political struggle”. He also wrote: ". . . our side enjoys absolute political superiority over an enemy materially stronger than we are. [italics added for emphasis].” From this, he fleshed out his ideas on how a major military power can be defeated by long-term attrition of personnel, negotiation, and creation of internal political dissent.
In essence, Giap went beyond Clausewitz in that he recognized that a nation’s armed forces are not merely an extension of the diplomatic arm; they constitute an integral part of the diplomatic arm. As long as the political structure of North Vietnam remained sound and the entire people supported the government cause, victory would be achieved in the long run.
Despite all that has been written to explain in complex terms our national loss of will and military defeat in South Vietnam, this simple statement of Giap’s may truly be a deciding factor in not only his wars, but future wars as well. If so, it poses great problems for the Free World and definitely must be studied in greater depth. Political dissent will never be allowed in Communist countries, whereas it will always exist in one form or another in democratic societies.
Giap’s writings and the outcome of the Vietnamese war also serve to validate the concept that a nation’s military strength does not depend upon weaponry alone. Rather, it is the product of its military strength and the will of the people to use it. Political dissent over the Vietnamese War seriously lessened our people’s will to employ fully the tremendous force potential available. As a result, realistically, we became inferior in force to the North Vietnamese who apparently had a 100% will to use everything available. From this we can see that the political strength of a nation in supporting a cause can be the governing factor in determining its military force potential.
Our Soviet opponents apparently have grasped the meaning of this development in warfare more completely than we have. Their stated goal is the spread of Communism throughout the world, and at present they are not insisting that it must be their type of Communism. Rather, they apparently now seek only a broad change in the basic nature of the world’s political philosophy. They are more than willing to accept a Czechoslovakia or a Yugoslavia today, for they add to the growing number of nations that are opposed to the capitalistic form of government. In fact, the Soviets seem to be not only willing to accept such countries, they welcome them eagerly. Whether the Communist world is considered to be monolithic or fragmented, its component nations have always banded together in opposition to the capitalistic nations whenever a dispute reaches a point where basic Communist principles are in danger. Undoubtedly, this is the most important factor at present, for the Soviets must believe these slightly wayward Communist countries can be brought to heel when the principal conflict is settled. Certainly, they showed no hesitation in sending ground forces into Hungary or Czechoslovakia when there was a danger in those countries of a possible shift in political power away from the Communist camp.
As an outgrowth of all this, the Soviets probably have implemented a strategy that seeks to ensure the armies of the superpowers will never see combat against each other in determining who the final victor will be in the struggle between Communism and capitalism. The giants are just too strong. As their major weapon in this strategy, the Soviets intend to use the revolutionary tendencies so prevalent in small or Third World nations. Like a well-planned chess game, world struggle will no longer be a head-on conflict between queens and kings. These major pieces have been neutralized. The real battle for a checkmate situation will be fought by the pawns.
Further, the erosion of governments friendly to the Free World will be done slowly. After each Communist victory, the people of the United States will be allowed to contemplate their loss and mentally prepare themselves for further piecemeal defeats. Vietnam was a trauma that will affect our attitude toward warfare for many years to come. The wounds run so deep that we now appear to be extremely cautious, even unready, as a nation, to support a foreign government or governmental movement that would require the commitment of U. S. troops. And, in most instances, that caution would also apply to the commitment of money and material.
In 1958, we stabilized the Lebanese situation by landing U. S. Marines with no question or dissent as to our national interests or requirements to do so. In the latest Lebanese crisis, however, we were content to sit idly by and accept whatever the outcome might be. We see no national need for Angola. There is growing dissent over support of the South Korean Government, the Republic of China in Taiwan, and—in reality—any other area outside the boundaries of our country. The dispassionate observer must wonder where our national interests do lie, because our political divisiveness has made any continuing policies on these questions impossible to maintain. Former Secretary of State Henry Kissinger put it this way in speaking at the University of Wyoming in February 1976:
"An effective foreign policy requires a strong
national government which can act with assurance
and speak with confidence on behalf of all Ameri-
cans. . . . But when the Executive is disavowed repeatedly and publicly, other governments wonder who speaks for America and what an American commitment means. Our Government is in danger of progressively losing the ability to shape events and a great nation that does not shape history eventually becomes its victim.”
This situation is, of course, in complete contrast to our national strength of 20 short years ago. At that time, there was no doubt in the minds of those who had experienced World War II that U. S. national interests were spread throughout the globe. Today, however, we appear to be slowly but surely embarked on a course of reestablishing Fortress America. Once the American people are mentally adjusted to this concept and prepared to let more peoples and nations throughout the world become victims of Communist movements, it will be relatively simple for the Soviets to complete our encirclement.
The most likely flow of world events under this new pattern of neutralizing the U. S. and fighting the real battle under the guise of unrelated revolutionary wars will center about a gradual takeover of Third World governments by groups friendly to the Communist cause. Angola is a recent example of this type of action. The MPLA has been given full support in money, arms, and men by the Soviets and Cuban Communists, whereas our government has been unable to get approval of any assistance for political groupings friendly to the United States.
The addition of Angola as supportive to the Communist bloc will give the Soviets access to bases at key points on both sides of the African continent. It should also act as a warning to most national leaders that they can expect no real help from the United States where Soviet-backed factions are involved. This will eventually result in further attrition among those governments that support our interests, further inhibiting our free access to open sea-lanes and vital raw materials.
Former Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld testified before Congress in January 1976 that: "The Navy is capable of controlling sea-lanes to Europe in times of emergency,” but he doubted if Pacific sea-lanes could be kept open beyond Alaska and Hawaii. "This situation,” he added, "will presumably grow more precarious as the capabilities of Soviet nuclear attack submarines increase.” This is another indication of our growing difficulties in maintaining our position as a major naval power. It also lends greater validity to Admiral Gorshkov’s statement: "Sooner or later the United States must face the fact that it no longer controls the seas.”
Once the key land and sea areas of the world are under Communist influence, it will be only a short step for the Soviets to strangle the U. S. economy without provoking a confrontation. It is doubtful that under present circumstances our people would be prepared to wage war over a disruption of our supplies of strategic materials, particularly if they are denied by small nations. The Soviets will not take a leading role in such actions, and the attitude of our people and political leaders today would not support open war with a Third World country to secure such items.
The seriousness of this situation unfolds in greater detail when one understands that the United States is really an island nation. It has 88,000 miles of coastline, and 99% of its imports and exports move on the seas. Of the 71 raw materials that are listed as critical to the maintenance and development of our economy, the United States is self-sufficient in only three. We are now importing approximately 35% of our oil, and this figure is projected to rise as high as $0% in the early 1980s. In large part, these materials must come from many of the Third World nations and over long sea-lanes. This means that the United States is highly vulnerable to economic blackmail. Were we denied access to needed raw materials by the disruption of our sea communications, or denied materials by a concert of smaller nations, the eventual result would be a withering of our economy and our ability to maintain ourselves as the most productive industrial nation in the world.
This all adds up to the fact that if present trends continue, within a few years the Soviets will have two options available to effectively make us a second-class power. The first, by superior naval strength. The second, by diplomatic pressures on smaller nations to deny us vital raw materials. In all probability, the Soviets would opt for the second alternative. This would place us in the untenable position of attacking smaller nations if we are to correct the situation, and that would be difficult to justify to the American people. Further, this type of economic warfare could be carried out in random sequence. If we did resecure our access to aluminum, our oil supplies could be disrupted. If that situation is corrected, another needed item could be cut off. The potential here is endless and would cause us greater difficulties in the national political arena than an all-out conflict with another major power. The end result, however, will be equally as effective for the purposes of Soviet leadership as would an all-out war. In fact, it would be better, for they could achieve their goals with little risk of a nuclear confrontation. And, with the deterioration of our economic base, we would be hard pressed to build and maintain the necessary war machinery that would be required to pull even with Soviet military strength when we finally did awake to the critical nature of our weakness.
This is why our present political and military situation is so dangerous. Our desire for peace is so strong that only a major threat will bring a realization to our people of their extreme vulnerability. The new type of warfare instituted by the Soviet Union will deny us that warning and effectively keep us confused and split politically. Unless we soon begin to study, understand, and blunt this "new” warfare, the greatest experiment in democracy that the world has ever known could perish not with a bang, but with resigned acceptance of our irrevocable weakness.
Commissioned in 1946 through the NROTC Unit at the University of North Carolina, Rear Admiral Toole served in the USS Paul G. Baker (DE-642) and the USS George Clymer (APA-27) before being assigned to the Naval Communication Station, Washington, D.C. in 1948. Designated a naval aviator in 1951, he flew with Patrol Squadron Ten until 1954, when he was assigned to OpNav as liaison officer with Headquarters, Directorate of Intelligence, U. S. Air Force. In 1957, he became aide and flag lieutenant on the staff* of Commander Middle East Force. After flying two storm seasons with the Navy’s "Hurricane Hunters” (Airborne Early Warning Squadron Four), he served in BuPers and then reported to Patrol Squadron Seven, which he eventually commanded. In February 1968, he became naval aide and executive assistant to the Assistant Secretary of the Navy (Manpower and Reserve Affairs). Subsequent assignments have included command of the USS Mispillion (AO-105), USS Iwo Jima (LPH-2), Amphibious Group One, and the Patrol and Reconnaissance Force, U. S. Seventh Fleet. Admiral Toole is now Commandant of the Fourth Naval District. A number of his articles have been published in the Proceedings in the past. The most recent was "Military Cover and Deception vs. Freedom of Information” in December 1975.