- ISBN/SKU: 9781612517957
- Binding: Hardcover & eBook Coming Soon
- Number of Pages: 288
- Subject: China
- Date Available: September 2014
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"The PRC’s military and economic expansion, although seemingly (at present) confined to East Asia, has transformed the world’s strategic framework. Most analysis of the changing strategic balance in the Pacific either over- or under-estimates the reality on one side of the equation or an other, or fails to address salient contextual issues. Not so Robert Haddick’s Fire on the Water: China, America, and the Future of the Pacific. It is so comprehensive and authoritative that it may be the most important wake-up call yet seen on the reality of the changing military balance in the Pacific.”
—Defense & Foreign Affairs Special Analysis
Advance Praise for Fire on the Water ~
“It is often said that history doesn’t repeat, but it rhymes. It is certainly now rhyming in the western Pacific. In the early 20th century the U.S. relied on Arms Control in the Washington Naval Agreements rather than a strong Pacific Fleet, while Japan built a massive blue-water fleet, resulting in the great Pacific War between the U.S. and Japan. Today as the U.S. continues to reduce its fleet toward pre-WW II levels, China rapidly grows a modern blue-water fleet. History tells us again and again that there is no choice between maintaining a balance of naval power on the one hand; or some other internationalized alternative. Rather the only possible choice is between maintaining that balance or failing to do so. There is no better person to address this growing crisis than Robert Haddick, a former Marine, distinguished strategist and successful international businessperson. In Fire on the Water, he writes compellingly about the growing problem in all its political, economic and military aspects, and he proposes real and achievable solutions. It is must reading for every informed citizen.”
—John F. Lehman Jr., Secretary of the Navy, 1981–87
“The security of the United States is inextricably woven into the security of the Indo-Pacific region. Cooperation and healthy competition will help deter nations from confrontation. The United States must maintain a position of strength in dealing with the challenges ahead in this region. Haddick's book proposes interesting approaches for our nation as we address those challenges.”
—Adm. Timothy J. Keating, USN (Ret.), Commander-in-Chief, U.S. Pacific Command, 2007-09
“Fire on the Water is a powerful and needed corrective to our current habit of responding to global challenges with gauzy aspirations and comforting rhetoric. Robert Haddick dissects the diplomatic, technological, economic and military challenges facing our nation and proposes a rigorously analyzed strategy that persuasively argues for action now if we are to maintain peace and stability in the Western Pacific at an affordable cost. That future will not happen without action by today's policymakers and strategists—pressed by an informed private sector. 100 years ago we ‘sleepwalked’ into a disastrous war. Fire on the Water provides the roadmap to avoid a repetition.”
—Lt. Gen. Wallace “Chip” Gregson, USMC (Ret.), Assistant Secretary of Defense for Asian and Pacific Security Affairs, 2009-11
“It should now be clear to anyone familiar with the news that there is a security crisis growing in the Western Pacific, the result of China’s rising power and ambitions. Robert Haddick’s very timely Fire on the Water explains in clear terms what’s at stake for the United States and why current policies are only increasing the danger. His proposed strategy, with rejuvenated American airpower a central pillar, is a feasible path for maintaining stability in this critical region. America now faces some long-overdue decisions on how to avoid a ruinous tragedy in East Asia. Fire on the Water provides a lucid analysis of the challenge and a bold yet sensible strategy that will keep the peace and protect America’s interests in Asia.”
—Lt. Gen. David Deptula, USAF (Ret.), Chief planner of the 1991 Gulf War air campaign
“Fire on the Water is the right book at the right time. Many in Washington these days are inclined to simply supplement acquisition policy or technology for strategy in regions like the Asia-Pacific. Thankfully, Haddick takes two steps back and provide wide-ranging clarity on the nature of the peacetime competition with China before offering his own unique strategy for how the United States can best position itself for success. Perhaps most refreshing is his discussion of ‘competitive strategies’ and how the U.S. should seek to maximize its natural military, economic, and diplomatic advantages to shape Chinese decision-making. It will take hard-nosed thinking like this if the U.S. is to continue to assure its allies and preserve peace and stability in the region in the decade ahead.”
—Congressman J. Randy Forbes, U.S. House of Representatives, 4th District of Virginia
In Fire on the Water, Robert Haddick contends that much of the general public and many U.S. policy experts are unaware of the threat that China’s military modernization poses to America’s national interests in the Asia-Pacific region. He maintains that within a decade China will have the military power to place U.S. influence throughout East Asia at risk. To avoid a future crisis, the United States needs to fashion a new and more competitive strategy, one that better matches the strengths of the United States and its allies against China’s vulnerabilities.
The U.S. forward military presence in East Asia is essential to protecting America’s standard of living, its strategic interests, and the region’s stability. This will be an increasingly difficult burden for the United States to sustain. However, U.S. forward presence will be less costly and less risky than encouraging China’s neighbors to counter China’s rising power by themselves, which would likely result in an unstable arms race and a conflict that would damage America’s interests.
China’s military strategy, centered on its rapidly expanding aerospace, naval, and land-based missile forces, is exploiting emerging vulnerabilities in America’s forces in the region. Plagued by institutional barriers, the United States has been slow to adapt to China’s rapid military modernization. Current U.S. responses are impractical, because they expend defense resources against China’s strengths rather than its weaknesses.
Fire on the Water proposes far-reaching changes to U.S. diplomacy, military programs, and strategies to counter China’s well-designed military modernization plan. The proposed competitive strategy will strengthen deterrence and bolster the credibility of U.S. alliances in the region. Throughout history the rapid arrival of a new great power has usually resulted in conflict. The United States, China, and Asia can avoid that fate if the United States adopts a more competitive strategy to influence China’s choices and thus maintain the region’s stability and prosperity.
Robert Haddick is a military analyst with three decades of experience researching security trends in Asia. He is currently based in Washington, D.C., as a research contractor for U.S. Special Operations Command. A former U.S. Marine Corps officer with service in East Asia and Africa, he has also been a columnist for Foreign Policy Magazine, the managing editor of Small Wars Journal, and a consultant to U.S. Central Command, the U.S. State Department, and the National Intelligence Council.